SPC AC 240802

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0202 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and
   southern Florida Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Broadly cyclonic flow aloft is forecast to be in place across the
   central and eastern CONUS early Wednesday. A series of embedded
   shortwave troughs are expected to traverse trough this cyclonic
   flow, helping to maintain upper troughing across the central and
   eastern CONUS into early Thursday. At the same time, upper ridging
   will build eastward into more of the West Coast, contributing to a
   more amplified upper pattern across the western CONUS by Thursday
   morning.

   An expansive area of high pressure will dominate the sensible
   weather across much of the central and eastern CONUS. The only
   exception is across central and southern FL, where modest low-level
   moisture will be in place ahead of weak cold front. Isolated
   thunderstorms are possible over this region as the cold front
   gradually shifts southward. Instability will be modest, tempered by
   warm mid-level temperatures and limited diurnal heating, but
   enhanced flow aloft will contribute to moderate vertical shear and
   the potential for a strong storm or two. Even so, the relatively
   modest environmental conditions coupled with limited predictability
   regarding frontal position/timing and overall buoyancy preclude
   introducing any severe probabilities with this forecast.

   ..Mosier.. 01/24/2022

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