SPC AC 250803
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CST Tue Jan 25 2022
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the east-central and
southeast Florida Coast Thursday.
...Synopsis...
An amplified upper ridge is expected to be in place over the West
Coast early Thursday, with broadly cyclonic flow downstream across
much of the central and eastern CONUS. Several shortwave troughs are
forecast to move within this cyclonic flow, including a shortwave
expected to progress through the Southeast states and another
expected to progress from the central Rockies southeastward through
the southern High Plains into the southern Plains. The progression
of these shortwaves will reinforce the central and eastern CONUS
upper trough while the western CONUS upper ridge slides eastward and
builds. As a result, by early Friday an amplified western CONUS
ridge/eastern CONUS trough upper pattern will likely be in place.
Dry and stable conditions will dominate the sensible weather across
the majority of the CONUS. The only exception is across central and
southern FL, where modest low-level moisture will likely remain in
place throughout the period. Easterly/northeasterly low-level flow
may help foster a few thunderstorms along the east-central/southeast
FL Coast.
..Mosier.. 01/25/2022
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