SPC AC 300745

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 AM CST Sun Jan 30 2022

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...

   An upper-level shortwave trough will weaken as it shifts east across
   the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. Southerly low-level flow will
   maintain modest boundary-layer moisture from east TX into the Lower
   MS Valley vicinity. Widespread cloud cover, areas of showers and
   relatively warm midlevels will limit destabilization ahead of a
   surface cold front forecast to shift southeast across the southern
   Plains and Ozarks. Any stronger forcing for ascent will remain over
   the Gulf, and weak vertical shear combined with a lack of stronger
   destabilization will preclude thunderstorm activity inland.

   Elsewhere, a large-scale upper trough will deepen across the western
   U.S., while surface low pressure develops over AZ/NM in response.
   Thunderstorm potential will remain low due to a mostly dry and
   stable boundary layer.

   ..Leitman.. 01/30/2022

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