Feb 3, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Feb 3 07:38:42 UTC 2022 (20220203 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220203 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220203 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220203 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030738

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0138 AM CST Thu Feb 03 2022

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...

   The upper trough over the Atlantic coast vicinity will quickly shift
   eastward through Saturday afternoon. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave
   trough over the southern states will weaken while being absorbed
   within a developing large-scale trough over the Plains. At the
   surface, a cold front will extend from well offshore the Atlantic
   coast into south FL and the southern Gulf of Mexico. Strong surface
   high pressure behind the front will track from the southern Plains
   toward the Northeast. The dry and stable airmass left in the wake of
   the cold front will preclude thunderstorm activity through Saturday
   night.

   ..Leitman.. 02/03/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z