SPC AC 060550

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1150 PM CST Sat Feb 05 2022

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.,
   Tuesday through Tuesday night.

   ...Discussion...
   Generally dry and/or stable conditions likely will be prevalent
   across the U.S. at the outset of the period, with little potential
   for change through Tuesday night.

   Models indicate that a blocking mid-level high will remain prominent
   offshore of the U.S. Pacific coast, within amplifying large-scale
   ridging in the mid-latitude westerlies across the eastern Pacific
   into western North America.  Downstream flow may remain broadly
   cyclonic in the mean, but comprised of splitting branches that
   appear likely to remain out of phase, east of the Great Plains, into
   the western Atlantic by late Tuesday night.  However, models
   continue to indicate that mid-level troughing progressing across the
   Atlantic Seaboard may contribute to strengthening surface
   cyclogenesis offshore of the Mid Atlantic coast into the Canadian
   Maritimes.  In its wake, a trailing cold front is forecast to
   advance further away from the Atlantic coast, including southern
   Florida, with seasonably cool air being maintained across much of
   the Southeast and Gulf Basin.

   ..Kerr.. 02/06/2022

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