SPC AC 120755

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 AM CST Sat Feb 12 2022

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper pattern early Monday is forecast to feature predominantly
   northwesterly flow across the majority of the CONUS. An embedded
   shortwave trough is expected to move from its early day position
   over the Upper Great Lakes east-southeastward off the northern
   Mid-Atlantic coast. This shortwave will be accompanied by a belt of
   stronger flow aloft (i.e. 100 kt at 500 mb) through its southern
   periphery. Farther west, a strong shortwave trough is expected to
   drop south through the Pacific Northwest into central CA and the
   western Great Basin. The strong flow aloft associated with this
   shortwave will be confined to its western periphery, stretching from
   western/central OR through central CA by early Tuesday morning.

   Recent intrusion of dry, continental air will result in stable
   conditions across the CONUS on Monday. Southerly flow will
   strengthen across the western Gulf of Mexico late Monday evening
   through Tuesday morning, but the more substantial low-level moisture
   will remain offshore. Consequently, despite a fairly active pattern
   with several shortwave troughs, thunderstorms are not anticipated.

   ..Mosier.. 02/12/2022

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