SPC AC 170716
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0116 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A northern-stream shortwave trough initially over the Upper Great
Lakes is forecast to progress quickly eastward through the Northeast
and northern Mid-Atlantic on Saturday. A low-amplitude shortwave
trough is expected to move through the northern-stream over the
Canadian Prairie Provinces/northern Plains and an upper low is
forecast to move southward off the West Coast, but largely zonal
flow is anticipated across much of the CONUS.
A cold front associated with the lead northern-stream shortwave will
push southeastward through the OH Valley, Northeast, and
Mid-Atlantic, helping to reinforce the dry and stable air mass in
place over those regions. Low-level southerly flow is expected
across the southern and central Plains, but moisture return will be
limited given the previous frontal intrusion. As a result, dry and
stable condition will prevail, and no thunderstorms are expected.
..Mosier.. 02/17/2022
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