SPC AC 210813

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0213 AM CST Mon Feb 21 2022

   Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm development will be possible on Wednesday from parts of
   the Southern Plains eastward into the Gulf Coast states. The
   potential for severe should be minimized.

   ...Arklatex...
   An upper-level trough will move into the Desert Southwest on
   Wednesday as southwest mid-level flow remains in place from the
   Great Plains to the Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, a large area
   of high pressure will move southward across the central U.S. A cold
   airmass will settle over much of the central and southern Plains
   eastward into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley. However, strong
   southerly flow over the top of the cold airmass is forecast from
   parts of the southern Plains eastward into the lower Mississippi
   Valley. In response, elevated thunderstorm development will be
   possible across a large area from the southern Plains eastward into
   the Gulf Coast states. A chance for a marginal severe threat may
   exist Wednesday evening near the axis of the low-level jet in the
   Arklatex. Although the wind-damage threat will likely be mitigated,
   hail could occur with the stronger updrafts over the top of the cold
   air. At this time, the potential for hail appears to be too
   conditional to add a marginal threat area.

   ..Broyles.. 02/21/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z