Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
46,776
1,910,723
Shreveport, LA...Bossier City, LA...Monroe, LA...Alexandria, LA...Greenville, MS...
SPC AC 220827
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 AM CST Tue Feb 22 2022
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday across parts of the
lower Mississippi Valley.
...Lower Mississippi Valley...
An upper-level trough will move into the Great Plains on Thursday as
southwest mid-level flow remains across the south-central and
southeastern states. At the surface, a cold front will advance
southeastward to the Texas Coastal Plain and lower Mississippi
Valley. Thunderstorm development will be possible during the
afternoon and evening near the front. Although surface dewpoints
will be in the 60s F ahead of the front in the lower Mississippi
Valley, instability is forecast to remain weak. Even so, low to
mid-level winds should be strong enough for a marginal severe
threat. The greatest chance for a severe threat should be from far
east Texas into northwest Mississippi where the moist sector will
intersect with the southeastern edge of a broad mid-level jet. Hail
and strong gusty winds may accompany the stronger thunderstorms. The
potential for thunderstorms should extend from the southern Plains
northeastward into the southern Appalachians, with limited potential
elsewhere across the continental United States.
..Broyles.. 02/22/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
| 
)
