Feb 23, 2022 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 23 08:17:27 UTC 2022 (20220223 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20220223 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220223 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20220223 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 230817

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0217 AM CST Wed Feb 23 2022

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the continental United States
   on Friday and Friday night.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A positively tilted upper-level trough will move eastward across the
   western U.S. on Friday as west to west-southwest mid-level flow
   remains over the southeastern and eastern states. At the surface, a
   cold front will advance southeastward across the eastern Gulf Coast
   states, Georgia and the Carolinas. Although surface dewpoints ahead
   of the front will be from the mid 50s to mid 60s F, instability and
   large-scale ascent are expected to be too weak for thunderstorm
   development. Elsewhere across the continental United States, a cold
   and dry airmass will limit thunderstorm potential Friday and Friday
   night.

   ..Broyles.. 02/23/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z