SPC AC 020711
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 AM CDT Tue Aug 02 2022
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
Organized severe storms are not expected on Thursday, but sporadic
strong storms may produce gusty winds over portions of the interior
West, and from the Missouri Valley into the Northeast.
An upper high will build over the central High Plains Thursday, with
relatively weak flow aloft across most of the CONUS. The exception
will be from the Pacific Northwest into the Dakotas, as the base of
a shortwave trough moves across MT. Low pressure will be focused
over SK during the day, with westerlies generally resulting in
weakly unstable conditions until late overnight when the low-level
jet increases over the eastern Dakotas. Here, a few elevated storms
will be possible, but weak instability should preclude any severe
Elsewhere, a warm and moist air mass will exist from the lower MO
valley into the Northeast, with various clusters of storms along and
south of a stationary front. Given the generally weakening upper
flow regime and rising heights, concentrated areas of severe storms
are currently not anticipated.
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z