DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0256 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2023 VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 34869541 33849610 33489630 32959756 31929863 31219888 30879970 31010004 31210032 32660008 34189968 35409985 35850082 36220161 36850269 37370349 38020352 38610314 38660232 38200018 37229654 36619523 36079495 35489501 34869541 0.02 28698863 29648913 30328951 31128973 31738956 32148906 32298819 32338719 31488554 30728311 29718201 27978195 27278220 26798287 0.05 35579782 35649966 36580159 37160224 37870192 37550085 37449862 37009682 36529595 36169585 35519650 35579782 0.05 29468836 30878834 31378738 31148624 30408530 29098527 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 24498039 25288164 25828260 99999999 28578984 29298999 30479110 31039259 31039417 30539549 29379771 28290070 99999999 28690311 30500196 32480128 34590127 35410172 36540392 36870453 37810544 38600552 39750522 40800423 41030266 40030204 39109929 39069754 39149664 39719620 40499628 40929698 41709711 42489629 44349522 44549409 41999278 38749225 35308955 33638657 31508055 0.15 28698866 30268946 31539225 31589386 31079795 29360137 29530193 30650130 31220108 32460080 33840062 35440088 35840156 36460290 37880469 38810489 39220446 39280227 38589909 37959390 36969257 35889141 34459052 32628768 31548574 30708306 28738106 28137941 99999999 24937948 26108122 26518269 0.15 41909614 43369494 43429413 41229301 40629325 40189415 40189531 41909614 0.30 37239640 36679599 35709595 34859610 33669619 33079684 32189801 31479880 30749957 30730024 30950065 31840025 32580007 33279990 34239918 34629875 35089874 35269925 35720080 36490214 37370341 37870319 38110265 37560078 37239640 SIGN 35909652 33859622 33449633 32899710 31609865 31289901 30749957 30770049 31170101 33520056 35500085 36460221 37310356 37920326 38160270 37969864 37659739 37259677 36669654 35909652 SIGN 29668801 30368950 31619223 31869189 31728913 31538765 31448618 31148503 30438466 29798478 29238552 29668801 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28618975 29379005 30469110 31029251 31029420 29559780 28430103 99999999 28700309 30680168 32590097 34850100 36880456 37830551 38580558 39730520 40790425 41040266 40090204 39109930 39069752 39149667 39729617 40469625 40919698 41809696 42529642 43609494 43559335 42139217 38819229 35268952 33628654 31448037 99999999 24448037 25798248 0.15 24977959 26158116 26558277 99999999 28808872 30228942 31499216 31619384 29929791 29120080 29560196 30580128 32160055 34110005 35090011 36370261 37920476 38800491 39220449 39270366 39260229 38549910 37929383 35809080 34008883 31898591 31508490 30738314 28788106 28167941 0.15 41889612 43389498 43389396 42819314 41849278 40729317 40189414 40249530 41889612 0.30 37209616 36009328 34869116 33909046 33339050 32579102 32309204 31849428 31559740 31289814 31019907 30779950 30810019 31340026 31830010 33329988 33989916 34629866 34929870 35329925 35950109 36840274 37390353 37900316 38090266 37570086 37209616 SIGN 35169905 35860082 36780261 37430358 37970317 38160270 37600091 37239602 36829516 35949321 34869113 33819044 33259052 32559112 32269223 31839406 31729566 31689638 31449762 31119845 30809941 30860025 31290020 31580020 32330003 33339987 33879925 34349894 34739866 34929867 35169905 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 37570082 37339744 37209616 36009328 34869116 33909046 33339050 32579102 32309204 31849428 31559740 31289814 30779950 30779953 30749957 30730024 30950065 32580007 33329988 34239918 34629875 34959874 35219910 35720080 36490214 37390353 37870319 37870319 38110265 37570082 SLGT 42819314 41849278 40629325 40209410 40189414 40189415 40189415 40189531 41909614 42519565 43389498 43429413 42819314 SLGT 29280208 31000109 32350082 33870059 35670110 36370261 37530419 37880469 38800491 39220449 39270366 39280227 38589909 37929383 35809080 33998883 31898592 31508490 30728312 30708306 29868218 28788106 28438000 99999999 25087971 26108122 26488278 99999999 28668862 29248893 30228944 31329176 31589386 31579393 29929791 28880115 MRGL 29160260 30520197 32570122 34650128 35540190 36910461 37830551 38580558 39750522 40590444 40870379 41040266 40090204 39169946 39099715 39719620 40489628 40929698 41709711 42729615 44349522 44549409 43559335 42139217 38999228 35298954 33628654 31538053 99999999 24418036 25118143 25468197 25618271 99999999 28498979 29349004 29919057 30679163 31029257 31029420 30499556 29379771 28340073 TSTM 45587123 45727018 46316866 47136739 99999999 40017348 40287410 40987551 42117636 44717699 99999999 48819209 45649170 43009087 40738989 37888944 35988882 35558719 35008386 33918103 33257951 33377797 99999999 28569078 29619119 30219206 30679349 30379530 29869589 29409706 27940050 99999999 29880517 30270410 30970297 32910202 34270204 35330286 35800480 35670547 35590651 35800762 36510878 37000926 38050977 39860967 41890791 42800697 43010623 42960386 42950336 42670208 42060095 41320011 41309880 41929828 43069780 44869750 47589794 48289800 49289794 99999999 49440275 47650338 45900535 44480645 43980712 43880830 43801104 43471348 43831581 44351768 44681831 45261831 45801747 47171591 47581508 47991466 48751528 49331710 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW GCK 20 S ICT 30 NNW BVO 20 SSW HRO 60 E LIT 35 NW GWO 25 WSW GWO 60 E MLU 15 S MLU 45 SE GGG 10 WSW ACT 45 WNW TPL 25 NE JCT 20 NE JCT 20 NE JCT 30 WNW JCT 30 SSW SJT 25 WNW ABI 65 N ABI 30 S LTS 20 W FSI 30 NW FSI 10 SSE CSM 35 E BGD 40 SSW EHA 45 S LHX 20 SE LHX 20 ESE LHX LAA 25 SSW GCK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MCW 40 NNE OXV 35 E LWD 30 SSW LWD 30 SSW LWD 30 SSW LWD 30 SSW LWD 15 ENE FNB 10 N TQE 20 WSW SLB 15 NNE SPW 20 SE FRM 25 SSE MCW. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S 6R6 45 SW SJT 40 ENE BGS 45 SSW CDS 15 E BGD 25 N DHT 20 NNE TAD 30 SSW PUB 10 W COS 30 NNE COS LIC ITR 25 SW RSL 55 NNW SGF 10 WSW JBR 20 S TUP TOI 35 ENE DHN 10 ESE VLD 15 ESE VLD 15 NNE GNV 25 NE ORL 45 ENE MLB ...CONT... 60 SE MIA 35 E APF 55 W FMY ...CONT... 65 SE BVE 30 ESE BVE 25 ESE ASD 30 E ESF 45 WSW IER 50 WSW IER 15 NNE BAZ 35 SSW DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW 6R6 35 NNE 6R6 30 NE BGS 40 NE PVW 25 NNW AMA 15 NNW RTN 35 NE ALS 50 WSW COS 20 W DEN 30 ENE FCL 45 WSW SNY 15 ESE SNY 35 SW IML 25 SE HLC 25 W MHK 40 SW FNB 30 ENE BIE 10 WNW LNK 20 NE OLU 25 NNE SUX 15 SSW RWF 25 NNW MKT 30 N MCW 30 NW CID 15 NNW COU 30 NE MEM 10 ENE BHM 55 SE SAV ...CONT... 50 ESE MTH 35 NW MTH 50 SSW APF 70 WSW APF ...CONT... 65 SSW BVE 40 W BVE 20 WSW MSY 40 NNE LFT 30 SSW ESF 35 ESE LFK 15 SSW UTS 30 SE BAZ 70 S DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N BML 90 NNE BML 45 WNW HUL 35 ENE CAR ...CONT... 45 E NEL 20 NE NEL 25 N ABE 20 WSW BGM 70 NW ART ...CONT... 60 ENE INL 55 NNW EAU 40 WSW LNR 10 WNW PIA 10 WNW MDH 25 NNE MKL 50 SW BNA 55 S TYS CAE 40 NE CHS 60 ESE CRE ...CONT... 70 S HUM 30 W HUM LFT 30 SW POE 25 SSE UTS 40 WNW HOU 40 NNW VCT 70 WNW LRD ...CONT... 75 WSW MRF 10 SW MRF FST 55 SSW LBB 20 WNW PVW 45 ENE TCC 20 ENE LVS 20 W LVS 25 W SAF 40 WSW 4SL 35 WSW FMN 40 WSW CEZ 35 NNW 4BL 40 SSW VEL 35 W RWL 25 WSW CPR 15 ENE CPR 40 WNW CDR 15 WNW CDR 55 ESE CDR MHN 25 WSW BBW 35 NW GRI 45 SSE ONL 25 WNW YKN 20 WSW ATY 45 SW GFK 45 ENE DVL 60 NW HCO ...CONT... 95 NNE ISN 40 E SDY 30 N 4BQ 35 SE SHR 40 E WRL 20 WSW WRL 20 NW JAC 40 E SUN 25 NE BOI 35 SSE BKE 25 WSW BKE 40 NW BKE 45 ESE ALW 40 SW 3TH 15 E 3TH 30 SW GPI 55 WNW GPI 120 N GEG.