DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0101 AM CDT TUE JUL 18 2023 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49449728 48809723 48109750 47079757 46209756 45639798 45199902 45130007 45940126 46670116 47470084 48870075 49530101 0.02 37808920 36438668 35368627 34758665 34698777 35078905 35498989 36389117 37439305 38559473 38999525 39419505 39719463 39609338 39029137 37808920 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 50089733 48899714 48139704 46209652 42959496 41869301 41029076 40148867 39248676 38858481 39088332 39538177 39388056 38938039 37598119 36588254 36238396 35208497 34648562 34448644 34608732 35058915 35719177 36279267 37159423 38269592 38929736 39079890 38550054 37440172 37150306 38000418 39770477 41020469 42340370 43770222 44240182 45010137 46770115 47480066 48350093 49470100 0.05 38477441 37797561 37347796 37667861 37987892 39327835 41517666 42697610 44357520 45757472 0.05 46796678 45636847 42847164 41237227 39907286 0.15 38268782 37238696 36978670 35858657 35358777 35548880 35638936 36218992 36769039 37479142 38129235 38919467 38989503 39829607 40229606 40489572 40529417 40099195 39649089 39258980 38768847 38268782 0.15 49359751 47559749 46149778 45419878 45159940 45119995 45150024 45440052 46750064 47680010 48500007 49560030 SIGN 49329751 47659749 46239778 45389878 45099957 45130020 45470048 46760060 47710006 48690000 49560035 && ... WIND ... 0.05 50129738 48689714 47719691 46149652 42899496 41869310 41029076 40138856 39308700 38918465 39138327 39558173 39388053 38948031 37838110 36708243 34848363 33848435 33178574 33288775 33678889 34559040 36129248 36739356 37519478 38499635 38929729 39099893 38580061 37470180 37150303 37950414 39850482 40980476 42460368 44000192 44620145 45170134 46630124 47440084 48620091 49510096 0.05 39381505 39821461 40381339 40511223 39801121 38981090 38281217 38101363 38411442 38971503 39381505 0.05 38497440 37727568 37367803 37667861 38017891 39367838 41477676 44077532 45627480 0.05 46836679 45736838 44646969 43657088 42677180 41237227 39857292 0.05 31221202 32331237 33051198 33271095 33371035 32620923 31860922 30890904 0.15 38238782 36988677 35948658 35388780 35578930 36229026 36809154 37289286 38669465 39809600 40149603 40489583 40459387 39899160 39669081 39228973 38778848 38238782 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38388790 36988673 35948658 35418780 35608940 36439068 37019204 37289282 38959503 39859611 40179610 40459576 40539538 40529424 40389350 39999218 39859145 39228973 38778846 38388790 SLGT 49389751 47689749 46269773 45419874 45129957 45130020 45410044 46780064 47879998 48690000 49530035 MRGL 50249743 48199704 46179648 44419559 42929496 41929309 40979068 39988817 39298693 38888499 39098339 39538177 39388056 38868034 37958098 37618129 36748235 35208342 33818436 33168568 33238759 33678889 34519031 36059235 36919383 37689505 38559642 38989747 39079890 38610054 37560163 37290237 37180303 37950414 39680479 40800481 42460368 44000192 44580157 45030136 46750118 47480087 49470100 MRGL 39861455 40311340 40501226 39751112 38981087 38261212 38091355 38381441 39001504 39371512 39861455 MRGL 46876681 45366882 44107039 42667176 40997237 39857292 99999999 38467449 37727579 37367803 37617852 37947887 39017853 41147700 42097641 44237532 45657482 MRGL 31221202 32361235 33061195 33351031 32620923 31890920 30980900 TSTM 29129285 29859219 30199094 29938897 29448818 99999999 29038444 29258371 29858250 30358061 99999999 32337952 33788094 33768156 33598205 33018270 31898454 31818657 32118899 32859054 34219223 36459490 38029693 38389750 38459858 38269929 37269995 36610063 35910215 35490319 35600412 35880488 36380535 37670613 37480709 36780743 35760669 34610601 33610608 32920654 32610696 32450722 32180765 31700805 31000805 99999999 31621286 32421261 33481231 34381261 35181303 36681397 37131506 37151651 36941715 36581725 36441744 36221767 36081804 36091847 36511918 37591966 38551998 39172008 39941930 40491842 41771492 42191411 42751167 43170931 43920603 45150313 45830232 46850231 48320326 48660413 49300693 99999999 48568944 46659029 44789085 42569089 41889111 41139048 40688829 40048535 40198362 40628161 41257998 42107930 42487901 43037930 43197955 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW EVV 15 W BWG 15 SSE BNA 45 NNW MSL 25 W MKL 25 NNE ARG 20 NNW UNO 30 E SGF 20 WNW OJC 30 WSW FNB 25 WNW FNB 25 SW SDA 15 S SDA 15 WSW LWD 30 SE LWD 20 ESE IRK 15 WSW UIN 30 NE ALN 30 ENE SLO 30 NW EVV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW HCO 25 SW GFK 65 SW FAR 15 W ABR 50 SE MBG 30 SSE MBG 10 S MBG BIS 50 WSW DVL 65 NW DVL 95 NNE MOT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NNW HCO 20 NNE GFK 55 SSW DTL 25 WSW RWF 20 SSE SPW 40 NE DSM 25 ENE BRL CMI 20 WNW BMG 35 WSW LUK 55 E LUK 20 NW PKB 40 WSW MGW 25 W EKN 15 NNE BKW 15 SW BKW 20 N TRI 50 WSW AVL 15 NNE ATL 30 SSE ANB TCL 25 W CBM 40 SSW MEM 10 SE FLP UMN 25 E CNU 20 NW EMP 15 NE SLN 15 NNW RSL 50 NNE GCK 40 NNE EHA 15 E SPD 25 WSW SPD 30 SE PUB 10 SE DEN 25 S CYS 35 NE TOR 15 WSW PHP 35 N PHP 55 SW MBG 20 W BIS 30 ESE N60 85 N MOT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE ELY 25 WNW DPG 25 SW SLC 20 WNW PUC 35 W U28 40 N BCE 35 NW CDC 55 N P38 25 SSW ELY 15 WNW ELY 40 NNE ELY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E CAR 40 N BGR 30 N PWM 30 NNE ORH 30 SW GON 65 S ISP ...CONT... 55 E SBY 25 SW WAL 40 WSW RIC 35 S CHO 25 S SHD 40 SW MRB 10 SSW IPT 25 WSW BGM 40 ENE ART 50 N MSS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SW TUS 45 SSE GBN 25 S PHX 50 NW SAD 30 SE SAD 35 NE DUG 50 SE DUG. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW 7R4 7R4 45 WNW MSY 35 S GPT 75 E BVE ...CONT... 60 SE AAF 45 SW CTY 20 NW GNV 50 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 50 SE CHS 15 SE CAE 30 WSW CAE 15 NNW AGS 50 WSW AGS 30 NW ABY 35 W TOI 20 SW MEI 50 SSE GLH 15 W PBF 15 SW GMJ 35 NE ICT 30 SSE SLN 30 SSE RSL 50 SSW RSL 35 S DDC 35 SSE LBL 25 ESE DHT 30 NE TCC 40 NW TCC 20 NE LVS 50 NNW LVS 20 NW ALS 45 ENE DRO 30 SE DRO 25 SE 4SL 40 NNW 4CR 35 WNW SRR 25 W ALM 45 SSE TCS 30 ENE DMN DMN 45 SSW DMN 90 SSW DMN ...CONT... 90 S GBN 35 S GBN 15 WNW PHX 20 SSW PRC 50 NW PRC 35 SW SGU 45 SW P38 45 NW DRA 65 WNW DRA 65 NNE NID 55 NNE NID 35 N NID 35 NW NID 55 WNW NID 35 ESE FAT 50 ENE MER 25 S TVL 20 NNW TVL 40 NE RNO 30 NNE LOL 55 SSW TWF 30 SE TWF 50 ESE PIH 40 NW LND 40 SW GCC 35 SSE 2WX 10 SW Y22 25 E DIK 20 ENE ISN 40 NW ISN 75 N GGW ...CONT... 70 NE GNA 10 NW IWD 30 ESE EAU 15 NW DBQ 30 E CID 20 S MLI 35 ENE BMI 15 S MIE 35 ENE DAY 25 SSW CAK 10 SSW FKL JHW 25 NNE JHW 30 WNW BUF 45 WNW BUF.