DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1139 AM CDT SAT SEP 23 2023 VALID TIME 231630Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36327533 36287716 37197745 37917720 38467665 39327562 39497378 0.02 34409684 34809783 35649773 39979521 40959571 42129625 42929708 44449750 45969750 46959692 46849588 46299359 45399266 42859219 40349245 37189314 35709381 34879455 34389556 34409684 0.05 41629304 39599327 38089361 36159455 35309569 35489661 36779647 39799473 44309682 45419703 45589550 45149386 44139336 41629304 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 31799894 32429968 34239917 37569718 40159582 41929691 42459867 43919971 45429976 46769843 47569697 47419532 46609356 45269263 43359182 41469147 39259143 37039177 34649287 32909435 32329747 31799894 0.15 33909701 34659839 35809787 37929657 40089556 41429578 42679662 43329808 44699784 45439706 45599553 44849370 43619297 41999244 40109255 37189311 34869404 34159508 33909701 0.30 35529686 36989638 37759595 39399476 39409342 37889371 36169455 35339555 35339624 35529686 SIGN 37899656 39819552 40639500 40599398 39459332 38149359 35239529 34189706 34659839 35849785 37899656 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31799896 32429968 34219921 37669709 40179582 41939685 42479867 43979971 45409978 46789844 47589701 47419532 46609356 45269263 43309182 41389147 39029145 36979178 34689285 32899435 32329747 31799896 0.05 36327533 36307715 37207743 37917719 38447666 39337561 39497382 0.15 34899358 33639545 33729668 34679839 35849788 37889657 40229544 41539570 42719656 44039680 44989659 45609546 44839367 43339282 41999244 40099256 38849220 34899358 0.30 35509685 36939641 37739597 38739477 38949349 38339353 36149452 35349558 35329623 35509685 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 36939641 37739597 39399476 39409342 38339353 36149452 35339555 35329623 35529686 36939641 SLGT 35849788 37929657 40089556 41429578 42679662 43329808 44699784 45439706 45609546 45149386 43339282 41999244 40079256 38849220 34899358 33639545 33729668 34659839 35849788 MRGL 36327533 36287716 37197745 37917720 39337561 39497382 MRGL 46789844 47589701 47419532 46609356 45399266 43359182 41469147 39029145 36979178 34689285 32899435 32329747 31799894 32429968 34219921 37569718 40169583 41929691 42459867 43919971 45409978 46789844 TSTM 48969009 47028887 43828854 42528964 39699001 34949082 33629138 32769205 31949241 31509203 30969063 29308817 99999999 28919351 30329378 30919451 31219616 30299814 30339996 31990049 34249967 35929862 37399766 39869655 40729696 41529773 42119888 43550296 45250318 46410304 48080177 49410000 99999999 36330778 35210947 34841146 35461362 36691415 37901296 38161061 38030893 37680789 37030763 36330778 99999999 30870576 31870380 30830102 28750144 99999999 26468309 26448110 27547932 99999999 34017643 35097700 35697808 36637845 39457736 40327549 40997388 41427065 41386917 41326830 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW BVO 25 W CNU 10 ENE FLV 30 SSE CDJ 25 S SZL 20 WNW FYV 25 SSW MKO 40 NW MLC 15 S CQB 25 WNW BVO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW OKC 35 SW EMP FNB 10 NE OMA 20 NNW SUX 30 S MHE 30 NE HON 30 WNW VVV 20 S AXN 30 SSE STC 30 ENE MCW 40 WNW CID IRK COU 35 SW RUE PRX GYI FSI 35 NNW OKC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E ECG 35 ESE RZZ 25 SSW RIC 30 NNE RIC 15 NNW DOV 40 E ACY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE JMS 25 SSE GFK 20 WSW BJI 30 ENE BRD 45 NE MSP 45 SW LSE 30 SSE CID 45 ENE COU 15 NNE UNO 20 NE HOT 40 NNE GGG 35 S FTW BWD ABI 30 S LTS 15 ESE ICT 15 WNW FNB 25 E OFK ONL 20 WNW 9V9 35 ESE MBG 15 SE JMS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N GNA 20 WSW CMX 10 S OSH 30 WSW JVL 20 WSW SPI 50 W MEM 20 E LLQ 15 N MLU 40 N ESF 20 ENE ESF 20 SSW MCB 75 E BVE ...CONT... 80 SSE BPT 30 NNE BPT 25 SSE LFK 45 NNE CLL 25 W AUS 15 SW JCT 45 N SJT 35 SW LTS 50 SW END 20 SW ICT 30 SSE BIE 15 SW LNK 20 WNW OLU 25 NNE BUB 35 S RAP 30 SE 2WX 30 SSW DIK 25 WSW MOT 100 NE MOT ...CONT... 40 SE FMN 45 WSW GUP 25 SSE FLG 25 NE IGM 40 SW SGU 15 NNE CDC 20 SSE 4HV 45 NE 4BL 35 NNW DRO 10 SE DRO 40 SE FMN ...CONT... 75 SSE ELP 35 W INK 50 SW SJT 55 SW DRT ...CONT... 75 SSW SRQ 45 ENE APF 70 E VRB ...CONT... 80 SSE EWN EWN 15 SW RWI 25 W AVC 25 SE HGR 25 S ABE 25 NE EWR 25 SE EWB 45 E ACK 90 E ACK.