DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1259 AM CDT TUE OCT 03 2023 VALID TIME 031200Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 34339924 33419974 32880025 32820065 32860104 33170128 33570128 34640098 37440076 38380106 38970137 39710140 40240146 41520045 42979881 43779820 44589742 44959696 45009675 44969627 44659602 43829597 42219631 41259663 40029701 38299790 34339924 0.05 36879950 37079991 37780001 38870004 40329973 41019943 41519889 41759838 41699783 41229767 40489783 39729810 38039874 37359903 36879950 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32279979 30790067 28860115 99999999 29770524 31730378 33710262 35240186 36560156 37600153 38220191 38970214 39620225 40510217 40960196 41590161 42730042 43949929 44909897 45349907 45539956 45570080 45680197 45950259 46300242 46760113 47719898 49419766 0.15 29470490 29650474 31480322 32680213 33660151 34750099 36600084 37500077 38440100 39010149 40250139 41380058 42179974 42879892 43919815 45149735 45709682 45909629 45699563 45559559 44199573 42069634 41159665 40069696 38389786 34339924 33619966 32310047 30780125 30120156 28960187 0.30 35809982 36070010 37740024 38950045 39910024 40679938 40859865 40769832 40499812 39049829 37589865 36449906 35819935 35809982 SIGN 40270138 41470047 42219970 42229908 41689843 40849779 39639783 38369814 36899865 35609889 34399924 33969968 33970014 34630095 35480090 36540083 37470076 38350097 38990146 40270138 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29770524 31730378 33710262 35240186 36560156 37600153 38220191 38970214 39620225 40510217 40960196 41590161 42730042 43949929 44909897 45349907 45539956 45570080 45680197 45950259 46300242 46760113 47719898 49419766 99999999 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32279976 30790067 28860115 0.15 37009839 36469856 35709880 34419928 33969968 33950010 34100041 34770102 36360086 37510072 38370108 39100143 40250139 41380058 42179974 42869891 44349785 45179733 45729681 45909624 45699558 44209574 42339629 42079637 41159665 40069696 38389786 37009839 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 35819983 36090008 37860025 38970044 39900025 40669940 40859865 40769831 40489811 39129828 37719862 36519903 35829934 35819983 SLGT 29470490 29790465 31480322 32730208 33730149 34740104 36600084 37500077 38350094 39080146 40240139 41380058 42209975 42949888 43979812 45139736 45729681 45909630 45679558 44229576 42669618 41129663 40069696 38979755 38389786 34339924 33659962 32310047 30780125 30110158 28960187 MRGL 29770524 31730378 33710262 35240186 36560156 37600152 38220191 38970214 39620225 40510217 40960196 41590160 42730042 43949929 44909897 45349907 45539955 45570080 45680197 45950259 46290242 46760112 47729898 49419766 99999999 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32189983 30690068 28850115 TSTM 25258270 25388193 25568122 26038083 26918108 28038180 29368224 30458168 31078080 99999999 48518961 45909029 40999161 38599259 35749432 33859602 32839646 31639631 30599480 30069392 29369349 99999999 30630563 32420420 34760339 37740303 39530395 40360435 40890486 41130603 41190721 41440833 41780901 42731043 42711231 42631327 43161394 43881373 44751185 45150952 45920819 46970764 48210735 49450679 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW CSM 70 NW CSM 15 WNW DDC 45 SW HLC 25 SE MCK 20 WSW EAR 20 WSW GRI 15 NNE HSI 20 ESE HSI 35 ENE RSL 30 N P28 25 SW AVK 35 NNW CSM 50 NW CSM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW MRF 55 SW MRF 20 S INK 50 NW BGS 20 ENE LBB 50 WNW CDS 30 SSE LBL 30 S GCK 30 NNW GCK 25 SSE GLD 25 SSE IML 20 NNE LBF 30 SSE ANW 35 NNW ONL 15 NNW MHE 20 NW ATY 35 NNW VVV 40 N VVV 15 SSW AXN 40 NNW OTG 20 NNE SUX 20 NNE LNK 20 SW BIE 15 NNE SLN 20 N HUT 20 S LTS 65 SE CDS 45 W ABI 60 SW SJT 40 E 6R6 65 WSW DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WSW MRF 35 W INK 45 W LBB 10 W AMA 10 SSW GUY 45 NNE EHA 45 ENE LAA 20 SSE ITR 25 N ITR 30 W IML 35 NNW IML 40 SW MHN 10 SE VTN 10 N 9V9 45 SW ABR 35 WSW ABR 40 E MBG 20 W MBG 20 SSE Y22 20 W Y22 30 NNW Y22 20 W BIS 30 S DVL 55 NW HCO ...CONT... 55 ENE RRT 10 ENE BJI 10 E RWF 20 N DNS 25 NE MHK 35 SE ICT 25 E FSI 55 WNW MWL 20 SSW ABI 50 SSW SJT 40 SSW DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW EYW 55 S APF 55 SE APF 40 WNW MIA 55 SSE AGR 40 NW AGR 15 N OCF JAX 40 E SSI ...CONT... 65 NNE GNA 45 WNW RHI 30 WNW BRL 25 W JEF 20 SSW FYV 25 ESE DUA 25 E DAL 30 S CRS 40 ESE UTS 10 NE BPT 50 SE BPT ...CONT... 90 SSE ELP 10 NNE CNM 25 N CVS 30 SW LAA 25 NW LIC 35 E FCL 20 S CYS 25 SW LAR 40 S RWL 40 ESE RKS 15 NNE RKS 20 NW BPI 20 SE PIH 25 ENE BYI 30 SE SUN 40 NE SUN 25 ENE MQM 50 NNW COD 20 ENE BIL 85 E LWT 35 W GGW 85 N GGW.