DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0736 AM CDT TUE OCT 03 2023 VALID TIME 031300Z - 041200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35969929 34509972 33130024 32820064 32890125 33610138 34450099 35130080 36990054 38220051 38740118 39150144 40270143 41520045 42979881 43779820 44589742 44959696 45009675 44969627 44659602 43829597 42219631 41259663 40029701 37599824 35969929 0.05 37429977 38319979 39080045 39510041 40080020 40709932 40869872 40779837 40569814 40079816 39019831 37559871 37269908 37229956 37429977 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29770524 31730366 33220246 34810154 36700155 37220088 38100094 38640177 39140211 39620225 40510217 40980184 41940095 43059964 44069897 44909897 45349907 45759967 46229996 46919991 47719898 49419766 99999999 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32259976 30800062 28860115 0.15 29470490 29650474 31480322 32900212 34870112 36510124 37120054 38210050 38720113 39170148 40250139 41380058 42179974 42879892 43919815 45149735 45709682 45909629 45699563 45559559 44199573 42069634 41159665 40069696 37379790 34339924 33619966 32310047 30780125 30120156 28960187 0.30 36989985 37350003 38280003 39090046 39950028 40679938 40859865 40769832 40499812 39049829 37589865 37349882 36989933 36989985 SIGN 39990082 40660026 41179951 41339882 41239820 40909809 39899813 38919823 37629858 36039932 34379973 32930042 32080086 31040159 30730198 30880266 31260265 32370194 34780079 36390072 37050036 37580033 38310035 39210088 39990082 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29770524 31900351 33150245 34820157 36680154 37220089 38090090 38610176 39120210 39620225 40510217 41010186 41870101 43029967 44059895 44889897 45369907 45779967 46219995 46909990 47719898 49419766 99999999 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32279976 30760062 28860115 0.15 35659867 34429919 33969968 33950010 34310064 35330094 36370084 37180051 38180051 38690109 39100143 40250139 41380058 42179974 43019881 44349785 45179733 45729681 45909624 45699558 44209574 42339629 42079637 41159665 40069696 37279795 35659867 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 37009996 37460006 38300003 39110044 39970026 40669940 40859865 40769831 40489811 39129828 37719862 37239889 36989939 37009996 SLGT 29470490 31420327 32860212 34810114 36540123 37110054 38190053 38750118 39110146 40250139 41380058 42209975 42949888 43979812 45139736 45729681 45909630 45679558 44229576 42669618 41129663 40069696 38969733 37369789 34339924 33659962 32310047 30780125 30110158 28960187 MRGL 49259428 47629471 44549492 42299543 39409634 37329696 34729796 33129896 32189983 30690068 28850115 99999999 29770524 31740367 33210241 34810155 36670153 37240089 38090090 38630177 39130213 39620225 40510217 41030181 41910094 43069962 44059895 44909897 45349907 45809971 46239996 46889989 47719898 49419766 TSTM 49059014 47679092 46369113 44839114 43469072 40729077 37339229 34309453 33389568 32209546 31479421 30899372 30329339 28939284 99999999 25258270 25388193 25568122 26038083 26918108 28038180 29368224 30458168 31078080 99999999 30630563 32420420 34760337 36270350 37350422 37480509 37360607 37300695 37470774 38100811 38900794 40530790 41720899 42731043 42711231 42631327 43161394 43881373 44751185 45150952 45920819 46970764 48210735 49450679 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S DDC 20 SSW DDC 35 N DDC 40 WSW HLC 25 SE MCK 20 WSW EAR 20 WSW GRI 15 NNE HSI 20 ESE HSI 35 ENE RSL 30 N P28 20 WSW P28 40 WNW AVK 55 S DDC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW MRF 25 S INK 55 NW BGS 45 SE AMA 20 ESE GUY 25 E LBL 20 NNE GCK 50 SE GLD 20 SE GLD 25 SSE IML 20 NNE LBF 30 SSE ANW 35 NNW ONL 15 NNW MHE 20 NW ATY 35 NNW VVV 40 N VVV 15 SSW AXN 40 NNW OTG 20 NNE SUX 20 NNE LNK 20 SW BIE 20 NE SLN 30 SW ICT 20 S LTS 65 SE CDS 45 W ABI 60 SW SJT 40 E 6R6 65 WSW DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE RRT 10 ENE BJI 10 E RWF 20 N DNS 25 NE MHK 35 SE ICT 25 E FSI 55 WNW MWL 20 SSW ABI 50 SSW SJT 40 SSW DRT ...CONT... 85 WSW MRF 30 W INK 45 SW LBB 30 SSE AMA GUY 15 NNE LBL 15 NW GCK 50 SSE ITR 10 SE ITR 25 N ITR 30 W IML 35 NNW IML 10 SE MHN 40 NNE ANW 25 NE 9V9 45 SW ABR 35 WSW ABR 40 ENE MBG 55 SE BIS 40 E BIS 30 S DVL 55 NW HCO. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N GNA 25 W GNA 15 SW ASX 15 E EAU 30 WNW LNR 20 ESE BRL 30 SSW TBN 20 NNW DEQ 20 SW PRX 10 SSW TYR 35 ENE LFK 35 WSW POE 15 NW LCH 70 SW 7R4 ...CONT... 75 NW EYW 55 S APF 55 SE APF 40 WNW MIA 55 SSE AGR 40 NW AGR 15 N OCF JAX 40 E SSI ...CONT... 90 SSE ELP 10 NNE CNM 25 N CVS 25 WSW CAO 10 NE TAD 45 E ALS 10 WSW ALS 45 ENE DRO 20 N DRO 30 SSW MTJ 30 N MTJ 20 W CAG 10 NNE RKS 20 NW BPI 20 SE PIH 25 ENE BYI 30 SE SUN 40 NE SUN 25 ENE MQM 50 NNW COD 20 ENE BIL 85 E LWT 35 W GGW 85 N GGW.