DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0751 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2024 VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48258973 47369142 47089159 46889112 46539045 45199034 44199052 43289094 41939160 41199255 38789458 38539556 38549596 38859629 39609607 40829567 41809556 42649561 44389497 46439463 49829425 0.05 43019475 45969427 47629336 47889268 47759222 46169160 45009149 43589179 42949264 42889408 43019475 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49198926 47188908 45498907 43908929 41469097 38809271 37329352 36099614 36049741 36459772 37439767 38249693 39469619 41169623 42429619 44939528 47359478 50059517 0.15 49239100 46469041 45229036 43799050 41569261 40589433 40669507 40919546 41869550 42999476 47809394 49409347 SIGN 45019149 43579180 41879275 40669507 40919548 41869550 42999477 46019424 47629335 47879269 47759227 46179160 45019149 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49388770 47338761 45118834 42248994 40089144 37689239 35309518 34919618 35049802 35409868 36459852 38169698 39499626 42429621 44709537 45689521 47359482 50259512 0.15 48999094 46489041 45099030 43609058 41879142 40339264 38599371 36839529 36739631 37219693 37969628 39689540 41889550 42959478 47429402 49389347 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 48749089 46489041 45129033 43779051 41989129 40449255 38569371 36829530 36739631 37219693 37969629 39709541 41859553 42979477 47809393 49139354 MRGL 49228770 47318762 45118834 42198996 40039147 37689239 36299408 35309518 34919620 35049803 35399868 36479852 38169700 39499626 42429621 44939528 47389477 49889514 TSTM 47658456 44578609 41958748 38388939 36049142 34339594 33299977 33080268 33690315 34660294 35940043 37519808 39359674 42699672 45579550 46889568 47899668 47979873 48590202 48770432 49530514 99999999 40122150 40901851 40711712 39831666 38051646 36731643 35681681 34431848 34111891 34021934 34252051 35652158 36442173 37252085 39102127 40122150 99999999 29088379 29648180 29648060 99999999 31408004 32398137 33038112 33508087 34038107 34308194 34228251 33838361 34008422 34278442 34508433 35548371 37338226 37958150 38998064 39257985 39047913 38287872 37117887 36597890 36297852 36457729 36357608 36027551 35837483 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NNW GNA 15 WSW IWD 35 WNW AUW 15 SW VOK 25 ENE CID 25 N IRK 15 SW SZL 35 WNW GMJ 15 W BVO 35 NNE PNC 25 SSW EMP 25 W STJ 10 SW DNS 25 SE SPW 50 ENE BJI 40 N INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 145 NNE CMX 40 ENE CMX 45 NNW GRB 40 ESE DBQ 15 WNW UIN 15 WSW TBN 20 NNE FYV 25 SSE MKO 25 W MLC CHK 30 E CSM 25 SSE AVK 40 NNE ICT 35 NE MHK 10 E SUX 30 NNW RWF 10 SE BJI 65 N RRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N ANJ 20 NNE MBL 45 NW VPZ 25 ESE BLV 25 NNE BVX 35 NE DUA 60 N ABI 40 NE HOB 50 SSE CVS 30 NE CVS 55 ENE BGD 30 ENE P28 15 NNW MHK 25 NW SUX 20 SSW AXN 10 ENE DTL 25 E GFK 15 SE DVL 40 NW MOT 50 NW ISN 100 NNE OLF ...CONT... 40 E RBL 35 W WMC 15 WNW BAM 40 NE U31 35 E TPH 25 W DRA 50 E NID 25 WSW PMD 20 ESE OXR 15 SSW OXR 35 S VBG 55 W PRB 10 SE MRY 20 W MER 40 NNE SAC 40 E RBL ...CONT... 55 SW CTY 30 E GNV 40 NE DAB ...CONT... 85 SE SAV 20 NNW SAV 35 SSW OGB OGB CAE 45 S SPA 20 SSE AND 20 WSW AHN 30 NNE ATL 45 E RMG 50 ENE RMG 25 SE TYS 60 W BLF 25 WNW BKW 45 W EKN 25 N EKN 40 ENE EKN 10 E SHD 25 SE LYH 25 E DAN 35 NNE RDU 25 E RZZ 10 NE ECG 40 ESE ECG 60 NE HSE.