Jan 11, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 11 05:13:51 UTC 2025 (20250111 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250111 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20250111 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20250111 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20250111 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20250111 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 110513

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1113 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected through Sunday morning.

   ...Synopsis...
   A stable pattern in terms of thunderstorm potential will exist
   today, with high pressure over much of the CONUS. An upper trough
   will move out the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, with a surface low and
   cold front pushing well offshore. Behind this front, offshore flow
   over the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic will maintain stable
   conditions.

   Elsewhere, a large upper trough will drop into the Western CONUS,
   with cooling aloft steepening lapse rates. Little to no convective
   instability is forecast, and as such thunderstorms are not forecast.

   ..Jewell.. 01/11/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z