Jan 11, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 11 19:45:04 UTC 2025 (20250111 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250111 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20250111 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20250111 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20250111 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20250111 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 111945

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0145 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2025

   Valid 112000Z - 121200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

   ...20z Update...
   No changes are needed to the current D1 Convective Outlook. See
   previous discussion below for more information.

   ..Thornton/Gleason.. 01/11/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1012 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2025/

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   As an upper trough continues to move off the East Coast today, a
   related surface cold front will clear south FL and the Keys. In its
   wake, high pressure over coastal TX and the Southeast will generally
   maintain offshore trajectories over the Gulf through the period.
   Accordingly, cold and stable conditions from the Rockies eastward
   are expected to preclude thunderstorms through tonight.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z