ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 221953
SPC AC 221927

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 222000Z - 231200Z

NO SVR TSTM AREAS FCST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE PNS DHN
25 NE AYS 20 ESE SAV ...CONT... 10 ESE DAB 25 N PIE.

...EXTREME SRN GA AND NRN FL...
ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FRONT FROM NEAR SSI TO WEAK LOW OVER SWRN GA
THEN SWWD TO SERN COASTAL LA.  PER MORNING H85 ANALYSIS AND RECENT
UPSWING IN CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD FRONT...WEAK WARM ADVECTION
CONTINUES ABOVE FRONTAL SURFACE.  IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT BANDS OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...THEN MOVE SEWD INTO
NRN FL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  LACK OF STRONG SURFACE
CONVERGENCE AND WEAK INSTABILITY ARGUE AGAINST SUSTAINED DEEP
CONVECTION.  HOWEVER...IF A STRONGER UPDRAFT IS MAINTAINED...STEEP
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ARE SUFFICIENT
FOR HAIL.
 
..RACY.. 01/22/03
NNNN