SPC Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook Issued 20Z 20030919


ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 191941
SPC AC 191941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2003

VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW JFK 30 NE MSV
25 NE UCA 40 WSW MSS ...CONT... 35 NNW BML 15 ENE PSM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PIE 35 NNW
DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE DRT 45 SSE SAT
35 E PSX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NEW ENGLAND AREA...

CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF ISABEL HAVE LIFTED
NWD INTO SRN ONTARIO. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY SLOT THAT DEVELOPED ON
THE SERN PERIPHERY OF ISABEL HAS ADVECTED NWD THROUGH ERN NY...
CONTRIBUTING TO A ZONE OF PARTIAL CLEARING. HOWEVER...WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES ARE LIMITING CAPE TO AOB 500
J/KG. VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS STRONG OVER THE REGION. THOUGH THIS
WOULD OTHERWISE BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...IT APPEARS INSTABILITY
MAY BE TOO LIMITED TO SUSTAIN UPRIGHT CONVECTION GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
SHEAR AVAILABLE.

..DIAL.. 09/19/2003

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.

$$