ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL ACUS01 KWNS 191941 SPC AC 191941 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0241 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2003 VALID 192000Z - 201200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW JFK 30 NE MSV 25 NE UCA 40 WSW MSS ...CONT... 35 NNW BML 15 ENE PSM. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW PIE 35 NNW DAB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE DRT 45 SSE SAT 35 E PSX. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...NEW ENGLAND AREA... CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF ISABEL HAVE LIFTED NWD INTO SRN ONTARIO. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY SLOT THAT DEVELOPED ON THE SERN PERIPHERY OF ISABEL HAS ADVECTED NWD THROUGH ERN NY... CONTRIBUTING TO A ZONE OF PARTIAL CLEARING. HOWEVER...WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES ARE LIMITING CAPE TO AOB 500 J/KG. VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS STRONG OVER THE REGION. THOUGH THIS WOULD OTHERWISE BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...IT APPEARS INSTABILITY MAY BE TOO LIMITED TO SUSTAIN UPRIGHT CONVECTION GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF SHEAR AVAILABLE. ..DIAL.. 09/19/2003 ...NOTICE... FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED. $$ |