SPC Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook Issued 20Z 20031009


ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL
ACUS01 KWNS 091953
SPC AC 091953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT THU OCT 09 2003

VALID 092000Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
GLS 20 NNE HOU 55 NNE HOU 45 SSE LFK 50 N BPT 40 SW POE 20 N LCH 30
WSW 7R4.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S TLH 35 NE MGR 25
E FAY 20 E ECG ...CONT... 90 E APN 25 ENE ESC 30 SE CWA 25 SW MSN 20
E MMO 15 NNE DNV 50 N EVV 10 WNW PAH 25 SW UOX 55 ESE LUL 10 SE PNS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE FCA 10 ENE 3TH
15 NE PDT 40 SE RDM 20 SW MFR 10 NW CEC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW DVL 45 SE MOT
35 W DIK 60 WSW MLS 35 S BIL 40 SW COD 30 NW JAC 45 ENE SUN 30 ESE
27U 10 SW HLN 35 ENE GTF 80 ENE HVR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE YUM 50 SSE GBN
15 SE TUS 10 SSE DUG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W EFK 30 S PSF 25
SE DUJ 15 WSW YNG 65 WNW ERI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W MRF 10 ESE MAF
45 SSW SPS 30 NNE MKO 25 NE MCW 45 NW BRD 30 ENE RRT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SERN TX UPPER COAST
AND EXTREME SWRN LA...

...UPPER SERN TX COAST INTO COASTAL SWRN LA...
MESOSCALE FEATURE HAS BECOME EVIDENT WITHIN THE LARGER CIRCULATION
CENTER ACROSS SERN TX AT MID AFTERNOON.  LOW LEVEL TROUGH AXIS HAS
PASSED THROUGH THE PALESTINE/LEDBETTER PROFILERS AS THE NEAR SURFACE
WIND FLOW HAS VEERED.  LOOPY LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS STILL EXIST FROM
ABOUT KIAH EWD TO SWRN LA AND TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP BENEATH
LARGE SCALE VORT CENTER.  THUS...AN ISOLD TORNADO THREAT SEEMS TO
EXIST ACROSS THE UPPER TX COASTAL AREA INTO EXTREME SWRN LA WHERE
TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT EXISTS COINCIDENT WITH 30-40 KT MIDLEVEL FLOW
AND LOW LEVEL TURNING.

..RACY.. 10/09/2003

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.

$$