ZCZC SPCSWODY1 ALL ACUS01 KWNS 151938 SPC AC 151938 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0238 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2003 VALID 152000Z - 161200Z GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CAR 35 WNW BGR 40 N BML. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW TUS 25 E TUS 45 SSE SAD 30 S DMN. ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...NRN NEW ENGLAND... DEEP SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NNEWD ACROSS SRN QUEBEC WHILE TRAILING LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF ME THIS EVENING. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A NARROW PIE-SHAPED WEDGE OF PARTIAL CLEARING MAY SUPPORT SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION FOR ISOLATED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW SHOWERS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER WRN ME AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT...AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD LIFT NEWD AND POSSIBLY DEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY TO OBTAIN LIGHTNING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ...SWRN U.S... STRONG SFC HEATING BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE OVER MEXICO AND SRN AZ HAS CONTRIBUTED TO RECENT CU DEVELOPMENT...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE U.S. BORDER. ONE OR TWO THUNDERSTORMS MAY YET DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER SERN AZ OR PERHAPS EXTREME SWRN NM BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SPARSE. ..DARROW.. 10/15/2003 ...NOTICE... FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED. $$ |