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    Day 2 Outlook >
Oct 5, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Oct 5 05:49:18 UTC 2022 (Print Version | 20221005 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20221005 1200Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 050549

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1249 AM CDT Wed Oct 05 2022

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered thunderstorms will be possible today across parts of the
   southwestern U.S. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may also occur
   in parts of the mid to upper Mississippi Valley, and in the vicinity
   of southern New England. Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level low will move slowly across southwestern New Mexico
   today. Surface heating will result in scattered thunderstorm
   development this afternoon in the higher terrain of much of the
   southwestern U.S. An upper-level low will also be present across
   Iowa today. This feature will move southeastward toward the
   Mississippi Valley. Isolated thunderstorms could develop just ahead
   of the low this afternoon. A few thunderstorms may also develop in
   parts of southeast New York, northern New Jersey and southern New
   England, in association with a western Atlantic upper-level low.
   Instability is expected to remain too weak for severe thunderstorms
   across the continental United States today and tonight.

   ..Broyles/Squitieri.. 10/05/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

        
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Page last modified: October 05, 2022
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