SPC AC 050549
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1249 AM CDT Wed Oct 05 2022
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible today across parts of the
southwestern U.S. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may also occur
in parts of the mid to upper Mississippi Valley, and in the vicinity
of southern New England. Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely.
An upper-level low will move slowly across southwestern New Mexico
today. Surface heating will result in scattered thunderstorm
development this afternoon in the higher terrain of much of the
southwestern U.S. An upper-level low will also be present across
Iowa today. This feature will move southeastward toward the
Mississippi Valley. Isolated thunderstorms could develop just ahead
of the low this afternoon. A few thunderstorms may also develop in
parts of southeast New York, northern New Jersey and southern New
England, in association with a western Atlantic upper-level low.
Instability is expected to remain too weak for severe thunderstorms
across the continental United States today and tonight.
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z