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    Day 2 Outlook >
Sep 25, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Sep 25 00:38:56 UTC 2023 (Print Version | 20230925 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20230925 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 250038

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0738 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2023

   Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
   CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TEXAS AND ARKLATEX/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe hail and damaging gusts are expected through early tonight
   across central/northeast Texas and vicinity.

   ...Central/Northeast TX...Extreme Southeast OK...Arklatex...

   The main change at 01z was to trim probabilities on the western and
   northern edges of the outlook area in central TX, southeast OK and
   southwest AR. These changes are based on the current location of the
   surface cold front and the location of ongoing severe convection.
   For details regarding short term severe potential/activity refer to
   MCD 2193 and WW 695. Additional convective development may occur
   late this evening/tonight in a continued warm advection regime with
   some severe risk persisting into the early overnight period.

   ..Leitman.. 09/25/2023

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: September 25, 2023
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