SPC AC 030106
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0806 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
All-hazards severe weather risk will continue this evening across
portions of Texas and adjacent parts of southwestern Oklahoma.
...Discussion...
While convective intensity/coverage has begun to gradually/diurnally
wane across most of the country, vigorous convection is ongoing
across portions of the southern Plains.
A fairly well-organized band of storms is moving eastward out of the
Texas South Plains and into western North Texas at this time, with
this band expected to persist for the next several hours. In the
short term hail and locally damaging winds will remain possible with
this band.
Just to the north, into southwestern Oklahoma, a second band of
storms is organizing, with some indications that this band may merge
with the one to the south and then continue moving eastward as one
larger MCS. As is the case farther south, locally damaging wind
gusts, and marginal hail, will be possible over the next few hours.
Finally, the most substantial convection is ongoing near the Rio
Grande Valley -- largely in Val Verde County at this time. Here,
several isolated cells -- including one supercell that produced a
tornado within the past hour -- are ongoing. While the previously
tornadic storm is now moving southeastward across the Rio Grande
into northern Mexico, other strong/potentially severe cells --
capable of producing hail and damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado
or two -- will continue moving southeastward across the Valley and
adjacent parts of the Edwards Plateau over the next few hours.
..Goss.. 06/03/2023
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