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    Day 2 Outlook >
Jan 16, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 16 00:49:37 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20190116 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20190116 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 160049

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0649 PM CST Tue Jan 15 2019

   Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Low-end thunder threat will exist along the southern California
   coast this evening.

   ...Southern CA...

   Early-evening water vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave
   trough approaching the southern CA coast.  Deep convection is noted
   offshore ahead of this feature with the leading edge of stronger
   convection roughly 70 mi southwest of LAX. While glaciated, this
   activity is struggling to produce lightning. 00z sounding from NKX
   exhibits meager instability and appreciable destabilization is not
   expected inland over the next few hours. For these reasons have
   lowered severe probs for the southern CA coast; however, some
   lightning potential remains with the strongest near-frontal
   updrafts.

   ..Darrow.. 01/16/2019

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: January 16, 2019
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