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    Day 2 Outlook >
Mar 24, 2019 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Mar 24 00:39:06 UTC 2019 (Print Version | 20190324 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20190324 0100Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 240039

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 PM CDT Sat Mar 23 2019

   Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF
   CENTRAL OK INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TX...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening near/east
   of the I-35 corridor from central Oklahoma into north-central Texas.

   ...01z Update...

   Isolated supercells continue near/just east of the I-35 corridor
   from central OK into north-central TX. This activity developed along
   the eastern plume of steeper low-level lapse rates along the dryline
   as temperatures warmed into the low-mid 70s. In the absence of
   appreciable large-scale forcing for ascent, boundary-layer cooling
   should negatively impact updraft intensity over the next few hours.
   00z sounding from OUN exhibited SBCAPE on the order of 1900 J/kg
   with deep-layer shear supportive of supercells. Ongoing activity
   reflects this environment favorably and large hail is the most
   common severe risk with the strongest updrafts. Latest
   radar/satellite trends suggest the greatest severe threat will be
   across central/southern OK through 03z.

   ..Darrow.. 03/24/2019

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: March 24, 2019
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