SPC AC 260039

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0639 PM CST Fri Nov 25 2022

   Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may occur tonight along
   parts of the Texas Coast.

   ...01z Update...

   Center of upper low has settled south of the international border
   over northern Chihuahua. As stronger mid-level flow rounds the base
   of this feature tonight the upper low is expected to eject into west
   TX. Even so, meaningful 12hr mid-level height falls will not spread
   across the limited warm sector that has yet to advance inland along
   the mid/upper TX Coast. Low-level warm advection appears to be
   aiding deep convection across the northwest Gulf Basin, north of the
   warm front near Bay City. If buoyancy can improve along this portion
   of the coast, there is some threat for an isolated strong/severe
   thunderstorm later tonight. Wind is the primary concern with this
   robust convection.

   ..Darrow.. 11/26/2022

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