SPC AC 150048

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

   Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.

   ...Discussion...
   Isolated thunderstorms remain possible, mainly this evening, across
   the Four Corners States ahead of a weak mid-level trough drifting
   southeast over the southern Great Basin. Lake-effect showers and
   embedded thunderstorms should remain most prevalent over Lake MI,
   but will also be possible south of Lake Huron and Erie. Steep
   mid-level lapse rates, sampled by the 00Z GRB/DTX soundings, will
   slowly slide south atop the relatively warm waters and support weak
   buoyancy for sporadic lightning flashes.

   ..Grams.. 10/15/2024

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z