Dec 7, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Dec 7 00:49:18 UTC 2021 (20211207 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20211207 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211207 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211207 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211207 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211207 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070049

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0649 PM CST Mon Dec 06 2021

   Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected the remainder of this evening.

   ...01z Update...

   Severe probabilities have been removed with the 01z update. 
   Convection has weakened considerably over the past couple of hours. 
   Instability continues to weaken across near the surface cold front,
   which extends from central GA into the FL Panhandle as of 0030z.
   While the severe threat has waned, isolated thunderstorms will
   continue to be possible in the vicinity of the eastward-advancing
   cold front, mainly across southwest GA into the FL panhandle and
   possibly as far west as southeast LA through the remainder of the
   evening.

   ..Leitman.. 12/07/2021

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z