Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Mar 1, 2021 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Mar 1 05:02:40 UTC 2021 (Print Version | 20210301 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20210301 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 010502

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1102 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected after sunrise.

   ...Gulf States...

   Mid-level height falls will strengthen across the southern Plains
   during the latter half of the period ahead of a notable short-wave
   trough that should advance into OK/north TX during the overnight
   hours. As a result, meaningful large-scale ascent will remain
   focused well north of the surface front which should surge of the TX
   Coast early in the period. Relatively steep mid-level lapse rates
   will remain conducive for elevated convection ahead of the short
   wave. There is some concern that a few robust updrafts may be
   ongoing at the start of the period across south-central TX, in
   closer proximity to a bit more buoyancy; however, any hail
   production should remain mostly sub-severe. Downstream, weak
   low-level convergence along the southward-advancing front will not
   be particularly advantageous for more than isolated lightning
   flashes within the strongest convection.

   ..Darrow.. 03/01/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: March 01, 2021
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities