SPC AC 060552

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1252 AM CDT Thu Oct 06 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe storms are unlikely today and tonight across the continental
   United States.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level low will move slowly southwestward from southern
   Arizona into northwestern Mexico today. Some instability will
   develop from near the upper-level low in the Desert Southwest
   northeastward into the southern Rockies by this afternoon. In
   response to surface heating, scattered thunderstorms are expected to
   form in the higher terrain from Arizona into New Mexico and west
   Texas. Thunderstorms are also expected to develop across parts of
   the Great Lakes ahead of an upper-level trough moving to the east.
   Isolated thunderstorms may also form in parts of eastern New York
   and western New England ahead of a lead shortwave trough this
   afternoon evening. Further west, a few storms will also be possible
   tonight across parts of the northern High Plains and central Plains
   ahead of a shortwave trough moving southeastward. Conditions are not
   expected to support a severe threat across the continental U.S.
   today or tonight.

   ..Broyles/Squitieri.. 10/06/2022

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