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    Day 2 Outlook >
Feb 8, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 8 05:31:37 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250208 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250208 1200Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 080531

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1131 PM CST Fri Feb 07 2025

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated to Scattered thunderstorm development is possible across
   parts of the Ohio Valley today.

   ...Ohio Valley...

   An area of modest mid-level height falls will spread across the
   Midwest/Great Lakes into the Ohio valley later today. This is in
   response to a fast-moving short-wave trough that will advance from
   the Upper MS Valley early in the period, into the Northeast by
   09/12z. Strengthening 500mb speed max will translate across IL into
   PA, and this should aid large-scale ascent/mid-level moistening such
   that profiles begin to yield a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE as lapse
   rates steepen. Forecast soundings suggest parcels lifted between
   1-2km AGL will become adequately buoyant for deep updrafts capable
   of penetrating levels necessary for lightning. This elevated
   activity should remain scattered and weak, though strong low-level
   warm advection will be noted as a focused LLJ responds to the
   approaching short wave.

   ..Darrow/Jirak.. 02/08/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

        
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Page last modified: February 08, 2025
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