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    Day 2 Outlook >
Jan 14, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 14 05:24:39 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250114 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250114 1200Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 140524

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1124 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected.

   ...Discussion...

   Weak low-latitude disturbance over Mexico will approach deep south
   TX later today. In response to this feature, a north-south surface
   boundary will be maintained just off the south TX/Mexican Gulf
   Coast. Little movement is expected with this boundary through the
   period, but low-level warm advection should persist along the cool
   side of the boundary where profiles are expected to remain fairly
   moist, but mid-level buoyancy should prove weak. Forecast soundings
   exhibit weak instability and parcels should remain too inhibited to
   warrant any meaningful risk for sustained deep convection capable of
   generating lightning.

   ..Darrow/Squitieri.. 01/14/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

        
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Page last modified: January 14, 2025
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