SPC AC 141232

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0732 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

   Valid 141300Z - 151200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible this morning and
   afternoon across parts of New England as an upper trough continues
   eastward. Other low-topped convection will be possible today beneath
   the upper trough over portions of the Great Lakes, with seasonably
   warm lake temperatures and cold mid-level temperatures supporting
   modest buoyancy and occasional lightning flashes. Finally, isolated
   thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and evening across parts of
   UT and northern AZ into western CO, as a weak shortwave trough moves
   slowly southeastward over the Great Basin and Southwest. Weak
   instability across all these regions should greatly limit potential
   for severe thunderstorms through the period.

   ..Gleason/Jewell.. 10/14/2024

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z