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    Day 2 Outlook >
Oct 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 4 16:22:41 UTC 2024 (Print Version | 20241004 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20241004 1630Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 041622

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1122 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

   Valid 041630Z - 051200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level shortwave trough over the western Great Lakes will
   continue to quickly move east through the afternoon and a lingering
   thunderstorm cluster over west-central IL late this morning will
   gradually diminish as this disturbance becomes displaced.  

   Farther south, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be
   possible from parts of the Mid-Atlantic southwestward to the Gulf
   Coast/Southeast.  Weak flow will limit storm intensity in these
   regions.  A vigorous shortwave trough will move across the Pacific
   Northwest and northern Rockies/Plains through tonight.  While
   large-scale forcing and mid-level flow associated with the upper
   trough passage will be strong, thunderstorm coverage is expected to
   remain sparse due to a rather dry airmass present across these
   areas.

   ..Smith/Lyons.. 10/04/2024

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z

        
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Page last modified: October 04, 2024
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