SPC AC 121606

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1106 AM CDT Sat Oct 12 2024

   Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely today and tonight.

   ...Great Lakes Region...
   Another relatively quiet convective day is anticipated across the
   CONUS, with most areas dry and stable.  One exception will be along
   and north of a surface boundary extending across northern IN.  A
   fast-moving shortwave trough currently over MI/WI will track along
   this boundary, aiding in the development of late afternoon and
   evening showers and thunderstorms - mainly over southern Lower MI. 
   Forecast soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates and strong winds
   aloft, but very limited moisture and CAPE.  The strongest cells may
   produce small hail and gusty winds, but current indications are that
   severe thunderstorms are unlikely.

   Other thunderstorms may affect portions of south FL and the Keys
   this afternoon, but no severe storms are expected.

   ..Hart/Weinman.. 10/12/2024

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z