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    Day 2 Outlook >
Feb 7, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 7 19:55:37 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250207 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20250207 2000Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 071955

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 PM CST Fri Feb 07 2025

   Valid 072000Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

   ...20z Update...
   Only minor adjustments were made to thunder chances across the
   western US. Otherwise, the D1 Convective Outlook needs no further
   updates. See previous discussion below for more information.

   ..Thornton/Guyer.. 02/07/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025/

   ...Discussion...
   Progressive largely zonal mid/upper-level flow will exist over the
   CONUS, with amplifying shortwave troughs from the northern
   Intermountain West to northern Plains, as well as over the coastal
   Pacific Northwest and northern California. Prevalent high pressure
   from the Midwest to coastal Southeast will considerably limit
   thunderstorm potential through tonight. Potential exceptions today
   include the possibility of a few lightning flashes across parts of
   Georgia and South Carolina near/north of the remnant front, but
   overall potential will remain limited (near 10 percent). Isolated
   lightning flashes could also occur across southern Idaho, northern
   Utah, and western Wyoming. Related to the amplifying shortwave
   trough, strong forcing for ascent and cold mid-level temperatures
   could yield a few lightning flashes through early afternoon, prior
   to the shortwave trough exiting the region.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

        
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Page last modified: February 07, 2025
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