SPC AC 020535
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 PM CST Mon Mar 01 2021
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.
An upper shortwave trough over the Southeast will move offshore from
the Carolinas by 00z. Meanwhile, a closed upper low offshore the CA
coast will progress eastward toward the Four Corners vicinity by
Thursday morning. At the surface, a cold front will extend southwest
from a low offshore the SC/GA coasts through northern FL and into
the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible
near the front, mainly across eastern portions of the FL Peninsula.
However, this activity is not expected to be severe as instability
will remain weak amid poor lapse rates and decreasing shear.
Additional isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of
coastal southern CA as midlevel lapse rates steepen with the
approach of the upper trough and a Pacific cold front.
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z