Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 070514
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1214 AM CDT Sun Nov 07 2021
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A progressive but somewhat low-amplitude mid/upper pattern will
persist across the CONUS on Monday. An upper shortwave trough will
migrate eastward from the Rockies to the mid/upper MS Valley
vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will develop southeast across
the central Plain and upper MS Valley, extending from near Lake
Michigan into northwest OK by Tuesday morning. Very modest moisture
will be in place ahead of the front and instability will remain very
weak, limiting thunderstorm potential. Another upper shortwave
trough will move inland across the Pacific coast states Monday
evening/overnight bringing continues areas of heavy rain to parts of
the Pacific Northwest. A few lighting flashes are possible over the
offshore waters west of northern CA Monday night, but thunderstorm
potential will decrease along the coast and points inland.
..Leitman.. 11/07/2021
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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