Nov 7, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Nov 7 05:14:31 UTC 2021 (20211107 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211107 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211107 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211107 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211107 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211107 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070514

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1214 AM CDT Sun Nov 07 2021

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...

   A progressive but somewhat low-amplitude mid/upper pattern will
   persist across the CONUS on Monday. An upper shortwave trough will
   migrate eastward from the Rockies to the mid/upper MS Valley
   vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will develop southeast across
   the central Plain and upper MS Valley, extending from near Lake
   Michigan into northwest OK by Tuesday morning. Very modest moisture
   will be in place ahead of the front and instability will remain very
   weak, limiting thunderstorm potential. Another upper shortwave
   trough will move inland across the Pacific coast states Monday
   evening/overnight bringing continues areas of heavy rain to parts of
   the Pacific Northwest. A few lighting flashes are possible over the
   offshore waters west of northern CA Monday night, but thunderstorm
   potential will decrease along the coast and points inland.

   ..Leitman.. 11/07/2021

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z