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Mar 14, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Mar 14 07:00:10 UTC 2021 (Print Version | 20210314 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20210314 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 140700

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0100 AM CST Sun Mar 14 2021

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Appreciable severe risk is not evident at this time across the U.S.
   on Monday.

   ...Discussion...
   An upper low initially over the central Plains is forecast to shift
   northward, weakening with time ahead of the next upper system
   progged to dig southeastward across California and Nevada through
   the day, and into Arizona late.

   At the surface, a weakening front will continue to dissipate as it
   shifts eastward into the central Gulf Coast states.  A cold front is
   also forecast to move southeastward across California and Nevada,
   and eventually into the Desert Southwest, ahead of the
   aforementioned upper system

   Showers are forecast across California and into the Great Basin
   during the day, in conjunction with the advance of the upper system.
    An occasional/embedded lightning flash may occur, but any coverage
   should remain too sparse to warrant a thunder area.

   In the central Gulf Coast region/Mid South, a zone of weak
   convection will likely shift west-to-east across the area, in tandem
   with the weakening surface front.  However, warm air in the 700 to
   600mb layer should hinder deeper convection/lightning across much of
   the area.  A stronger cell or two may occur during the afternoon
   near peak heating, across the northeastern Mississippi/northern
   Alabama/southern Tennessee area.  However, while a locally stronger
   wind gust or brief tornado cannot be ruled out entirely, any
   severe-weather potential appears too low to justify issuance of a
   severe risk area attm.

   ..Goss.. 03/14/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: March 14, 2021
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