SPC AC 090552

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1152 PM CST Sat Mar 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Florida
   Peninsula and parts of the Carolinas on Monday. Severe storms are
   not expected.

   ...Synopsis...

   An upper low over AL Monday morning will shift east, moving offshore
   over the Gulf Stream by evening. At the surface, a low near the GA
   coast will deepen as it shifts northeast over the Atlantic, and a
   trailing cold front will develop southward across the FL Peninsula.
   Isolated thunderstorms may be ongoing near the cold front Monday
   morning and continue sporadically into the afternoon with southward
   extent. Deep-layer flow will be moderately strong, but mostly
   parallel to the cold front. Meanwhile, warm midlevel temperatures
   across FL will result in modest midlevel lapse rates, limiting
   instability (generally less than 750 J/kg MLCAPE). This will largely
   limit severe potential, though a brief strong storm or two could
   produce gusty winds. 

   Further north, isolated thunderstorms are possible across parts of
   the Carolinas closer to the surface and upper low. Cold temperatures
   aloft will result in steep midlevel lapse rates and MUCAPE around
   200-400 J/kg. Severe storms are not expected but a couple instances
   of small hail will be possible with mainly elevated convection
   through the afternoon.

   ..Leitman.. 03/09/2025

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