SPC AC 090657

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1257 AM CST Thu Feb 09 2023

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
   SOUTHEAST STATES...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few severe thunderstorms are possible across the Southeast on
   Friday including northern Florida, southeast Alabama and
   southern/eastern Georgia into southern South Carolina.

   ...Southeast States...
   A positive-tilt upper-level trough will move east-southeastward from
   the southern Plains toward the Lower Mississippi Valley through
   Friday night. A preceding cold front will be located from the
   coastal Mid-Atlantic States southwestward across the Carolinas into
   Georgia/northern Florida Friday morning. A moist air mass with 60s F
   surface dewpoints is expected to be in place ahead of the front,
   especially across Florida into parts of Georgia/southern South
   Carolina.

   While the boundary layer will be relatively moist, overall
   destabilization is currently expected to be muted by some lingering
   cloud cover as well as weak mid-level lapse rates. Even so, weak
   destabilization in the presence of 40+ kt effective shear may be
   conducive for a few severe thunderstorms through Friday afternoon,
   which could include locally damaging winds and/or a tornado.

   ..Guyer.. 02/09/2023

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z