Click-to-scroll-up Image
Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

< Day 1 Outlook   Day 3 Outlook >
Jan 27, 2023 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 27 06:00:22 UTC 2023 (Print Version | 20230127 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20230127 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Pop.  Cities  CWAs  RFCs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA  Tribal

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 270600

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1200 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Low-level moisture will gradually return northward Saturday across
   parts of TX into the ArkLaTex ahead of a southward-advancing cold
   front. Enhanced mid-level west-southwesterly flow over the southern
   Plains and lower MS Valley will be tied to two somewhat distinct jet
   streams, which should tend to merge with time Saturday night. A
   stout low-level capping inversion will likely suppress convective
   potential across the developing warm sector through much of the day,
   and probably most of Saturday evening as well. Ascent associated
   with a persistent south-southwesterly low-level jet is forecast to
   eventually encourage at least isolated thunderstorm development
   across parts of east TX into LA/AR and vicinity Saturday night. This
   activity will likely remain elevated above a near-surface stable
   layer. MUCAPE should remain fairly muted owing to the incomplete
   low-level moisture return, but values up to 500-750 J/kg may support
   some small hail with the more robust updrafts given the strong
   deep-layer shear expected.

   ..Gleason.. 01/27/2023

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
Top/Latest Day 1 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: January 27, 2023
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities