Dec 6, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 6 06:10:21 UTC 2021 (20211206 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211206 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211206 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211206 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211206 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211206 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060610

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1210 AM CST Mon Dec 06 2021

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
   States on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Large-scale upper troughing will persist across much of the
   central/eastern CONUS on Tuesday as a lead wave ejects from New
   England northeastward over the Canadian Maritimes. Surface high
   pressure is expected to dominate much of the CONUS east of the
   Rockies as it slowly shifts eastward to the Atlantic Coast through
   the period. Due to a prior frontal passage, rich low-level moisture
   should remain confined to parts of the immediate Gulf Coast. Only
   very weak boundary-layer instability is forecast to develop across
   parts of north FL Tuesday afternoon, and the potential for robust
   thunderstorms appears low. However, some elevated convection may
   occur primarily Tuesday evening/night across parts of the Gulf Coast
   states as modest low-level warm/moist advection develops on the
   southern periphery of the amplifying upper trough.

   ..Gleason.. 12/06/2021

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z