Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 040517
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 PM CST Wed Mar 03 2021
Valid 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.
...Synopsis...
An upper trough over the southern Plains will develop southeast
toward the Gulf coast states on Friday. Modest moisture (dewpoints
in the 50s to low 60s near the coast) will spread across eastern TX
and LA ahead of a surface trough and cold front. As midlevel lapse
rates steepen with the approach of the upper trough, enough elevated
instability will exist for isolated thunderstorm development. This
activity will remain elevated and weak, and severe storms are not
expected. Surface high pressure across much of the rest of the U.S.
will preclude thunderstorm activity elsewhere, as a dry and stable
air mass prevails. The exception may be across parts of the Pacific
Northwest coast. An upper shortwave trough will move onshore late in
the period, along with a surface cold front. Bands of showers will
move onshore through the period, but thunderstorm potential appears
low.
..Leitman.. 03/04/2021
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
| 
)
