Mar 6, 2021 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 6 16:53:11 UTC 2021 (20210306 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20210306 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20210306 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20210306 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20210306 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20210306 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 061653

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1053 AM CST Sat Mar 06 2021

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
   States on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A quiescent weather pattern for thunderstorms will exist for much of
   the Lower 48 on Sunday.  Dry/stable conditions will exist over most
   of the continental U.S. and be influenced by surface high pressure
   and offshore flow over the Atlantic Seaboard and Gulf of Mexico. 
   The exception will be along the parts of the West Coast, where a
   mid-upper trough is forecast to approach the northern half of CA and
   OR/WA during the period.  Very cold mid-level temperatures may
   support fleeting pockets of instability near the immediate coast of
   OR/WA as low-topped convection moves ashore.  A few thunderstorms
   are possible with this activity.

   ..Smith.. 03/06/2021

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z