SPC AC 070714

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0214 AM CDT Sun Aug 07 2022

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Little severe weather is anticipated across the CONUS on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A low-amplitude shortwave trough will quickly move out of the 
   Maritimes, allowing for subtle height rises over the Northeast
   during the day. To the west, an upper low with expansive area of
   cyclonic flow aloft will spread east from SK/MB into ON, with 40 kt
   500 mb winds into ND and northern MN by 00Z. A slow-moving cold
   front will stretch from southern New England to the OH Valley and
   into the Ozarks during the afternoon, with ample moisture for
   daytime storms and modest instability. Shear will remain quite weak,
   with primarily non-severe storms expected.

   To the west, an upper high will be centered over the central
   Rockies, with a ridge building northward across MT. This will occur
   ahead of an upper low, which will near the OR/northern CA coast late
   in the period. Forecast soundings indicate minimal SBCAPE during the
   day over OR, but moistening around 700 mb and steepening lapse rates
   aloft will support areas of rain and thunderstorms into the night as
   cooling aloft spreads east.

   ..Jewell.. 08/07/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z