SPC AC 120750

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0150 AM CST Sun Mar 12 2023

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   Appreciable low-level moisture to support convection will likely
   remain confined along/south of a front extending from south FL and
   the Keys across the Gulf and into deep south TX. Convergence along
   this boundary is expected to remain generally weak, which should
   limit thunderstorm coverage over land. Still, isolated convection
   may develop Tuesday afternoon across parts of south FL and the Keys
   with diurnal heating. A couple of thunderstorms may also occur over
   deep south TX as modest lift associated with the glancing influence
   of a shortwave trough overspreads this region. Another upper trough
   will impact much of the western CONUS on Tuesday. Most guidance
   indicates that instability will remain negligible, with thunderstorm
   coverage probably remaining less than 10%.

   ..Gleason.. 03/12/2023

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z