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< Day 2 Outlook   Day 4 - 8 Outlook >
Feb 8, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Feb 8 08:18:23 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250208 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20250208 0830Z Day 3 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 080818

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0218 AM CST Sat Feb 08 2025

   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the Edwards Plateau into
   central and northeast Texas late Monday night. Severe weather
   potential is low.

   ...Synopsis...
   While strong zonal flow will persist across portions of the Midwest
   into the Northeast, broadly cyclonic flow will increase across the
   western U.S. through the period. A shortwave trough will emerge from
   northern Mexico and eject into  West/Central Texas by Tuesday
   morning. At the surface, Gulf moisture will remain near the coast,
   south of a stalled cold front. As the upper trough approaches, this
   moisture will make some progress northward overnight Monday.

   ...Edwards Plateau into Northeast Texas...
   While models differ on the northward advancement of moisture late
   Monday into Tuesday--the NAM most notably less aggressive--it is
   probable that moisture will be sufficient to support elevated
   buoyancy. Modest mid-level ascent and lower-level warm advection
   will promote showers and isolated thunderstorms from the Edwards
   Plateau region into Central and Northeast Texas late Monday night
   into Tuesday morning. While shear will be strong, mid-level lapse
   rates and buoyancy will be weak. Severe weather is not expected with
   this activity.

   ..Wendt.. 02/08/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z

        
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Page last modified: February 08, 2025
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