SPC AC 120750
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 AM CST Sun Mar 12 2023
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Appreciable low-level moisture to support convection will likely
remain confined along/south of a front extending from south FL and
the Keys across the Gulf and into deep south TX. Convergence along
this boundary is expected to remain generally weak, which should
limit thunderstorm coverage over land. Still, isolated convection
may develop Tuesday afternoon across parts of south FL and the Keys
with diurnal heating. A couple of thunderstorms may also occur over
deep south TX as modest lift associated with the glancing influence
of a shortwave trough overspreads this region. Another upper trough
will impact much of the western CONUS on Tuesday. Most guidance
indicates that instability will remain negligible, with thunderstorm
coverage probably remaining less than 10%.
..Gleason.. 03/12/2023
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z