Dec 4, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Dec 4 07:50:01 UTC 2024 (20241204 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20241204 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20241204 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 040750

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0150 AM CST Wed Dec 04 2024

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible across portions of
   central Texas.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will shift slowly east across the southern Plains
   on Friday. As this occurs, some weak instability will develop as
   mid-level moisture increases and moves north across central Texas
   with a modest increase in the low-level jet. Cooling mid-level
   temperatures may result in some weak instability, sufficient for
   isolated to potentially scattered thunderstorms.

   ..Bentley.. 12/04/2024

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z