Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 227
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT FRI MAY 4 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 226...
DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS/SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE IN VERY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS ALONG SLOWLY RETREATING DRY LINE THIS EVENING.
STRENGTHENING ASCENT/WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING FOUR
CORNERS UPPER TROUGH MAY ENHANCE TORNADO POTENTIAL AFTER DARK AS LLJ
INCREASES TO AROUND 50 KTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 227 TORNADO KS OK TX 042315Z - 050700Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WNW RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 75SSE CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /48ESE HLC - 57N ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38999776 33419840 33410116 38990073
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 227 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 227
VALID 050545Z - 050640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S HUT TO
35 SE DDC TO 25 SSE HLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0
..CARBIN..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-047-051-053-097-105-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-050640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH KIOWA LINCOLN
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 227
VALID 050455Z - 050540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW END
TO LTS TO 60 N ABI.
..SPC..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-055-057-069-077-083-095-097-101-
105-119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-195-050540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GRAY HARPER HODGEMAN
KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-065-093-129-149-151-153-
050540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-087-101-125-129-155-179-191-197-211-269-275-295-345-357-
393-483-050540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS DONLEY FOARD
GRAY HALL HARDEMAN
HEMPHILL KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 227
VALID 050335Z - 050440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW END
TO 5 NNE LTS TO 60 N ABI.
..GRAMS..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-055-057-069-077-083-095-097-101-
105-119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-195-050440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GRAY HARPER HODGEMAN
KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-065-093-129-149-151-153-
050440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-087-101-125-129-155-179-191-197-211-269-275-295-345-357-
393-483-050440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS DONLEY FOARD
GRAY HALL HARDEMAN
HEMPHILL KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 227
VALID 050245Z - 050340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW END
TO 10 NE LTS TO 65 N ABI.
..GRAMS..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-055-057-069-077-083-095-097-101-
105-119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-195-050340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GRAY HARPER HODGEMAN
KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-065-093-129-149-151-153-
050340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON MAJOR ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-087-101-125-129-155-179-191-197-211-269-275-295-345-357-
393-483-050340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS DONLEY FOARD
GRAY HALL HARDEMAN
HEMPHILL KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 227
VALID 050140Z - 050240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 688.
..GRAMS..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-055-057-069-077-083-095-097-101-
105-119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-195-050240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GRAY HARPER HODGEMAN
KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-
059-065-073-075-093-129-141-149-151-153-050240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-087-101-125-129-155-179-191-197-211-269-275-295-
345-357-393-483-485-487-050240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DICKENS
DONLEY FOARD GRAY
HALL HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY OCHILTREE ROBERTS
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 227
VALID 050030Z - 050140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/05/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-055-057-069-077-083-095-097-101-
105-119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-185-195-050140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FINNEY FORD
GRAY HARPER HODGEMAN
KINGMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
STAFFORD TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-
059-065-073-075-093-129-141-149-151-153-050140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-087-101-125-129-155-179-191-197-211-269-275-295-
345-357-393-483-485-487-050140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DICKENS
DONLEY FOARD GRAY
HALL HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY OCHILTREE ROBERTS
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.