Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST OF DURANT
OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 8...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING IN WARM ADVECTION
REGIME ACROSS SOUTHEAST OK. MEANWHILE...LINE OF SUPERCELLS IS
INTENSIFYING OVER CENTRAL OK. BOTH AREAS OF STORMS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW LEVEL WIND
FIELDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 9 TORNADO AR OK 102045Z - 110400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25E DUA/DURANT OK/ - 40ENE BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /55S MLC - 12SW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 33939736 36979680 36979390 33939456
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 9 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 9
VALID 110240Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW ADM
TO 40 SE CQB TO 20 WSW JLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 91.
..GRAMS..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-041-061-063-069-077-079-091-095-097-
101-111-115-121-123-127-135-145-110340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
DELAWARE HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE OKMULGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 9
VALID 110125Z - 110240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131-133-
135-143-145-147-110240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 9
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 89
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131-133-
135-143-145-147-110140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 9
VALID 102340Z - 110040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131-133-
135-143-145-147-110040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 9
VALID 102250Z - 102340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-102340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131-133-
135-143-145-147-102340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 9
VALID 102140Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-102240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-127-131-133-
135-143-145-147-102240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MAYES
MUSKOGEE NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (>95%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.