Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 236
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TOPEKA KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING QUICKLY ALONG THE FRONTAL
ZONE WHERE THE AIR MASS IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES TO 3000 J/KG.
WEAK SHEAR WILL RESULT IN PULSE STORMS WITH LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS AND
LARGE HAIL. STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY SUNSET
WITH CESSATION OF SURFACE HEATING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24010.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 236 SEVERE TSTM KS 302020Z - 310200Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NW TOP/TOPEKA KS/ - 45SSW ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /50S PWE - 43NNE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24010.
LAT...LON 39369526 37049701 37049847 39369676
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 236 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 236
VALID 310135Z - 310200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE PNC TO
45 WSW CNU TO 15 NNW CNU.
REMAINDER WW 236 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310200Z.
MRGL SVR HAIL THREAT MAY BRIEFLY ARISE WITH INDIVIDUAL/ELEVATED
..EDWARDS..05/31/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC017-019-049-125-205-207-310200-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA ELK
MONTGOMERY WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 236
VALID 310020Z - 310140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM AND 20 ENE
P28 TO 30 SW ICT TO 15 SE HUT TO 25 NE ICT TO 35 NNE ICT TO 40
WSW EMP TO 35 WNW EMP TO 15 NW EMP TO 30 NNW EMP TO 30 SW TOP TO
20 WSW TOP TO 15 SSE TOP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 752.
..EDWARDS..05/31/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-015-017-019-031-035-049-059-073-125-139-191-205-207-
310140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY COWLEY
ELK FRANKLIN GREENWOOD
MONTGOMERY OSAGE SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 236
VALID 302235Z - 302340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW MHK
TO MHK TO 30 ENE MHK TO 35 NW TOP.
..EDWARDS..05/30/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-111-115-127-139-173-
177-191-197-302340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGMAN LYON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE SEDGWICK
SHAWNEE SUMNER WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 236
VALID 302135Z - 302240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..05/30/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-111-115-127-139-149-
161-173-177-191-197-302240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
KINGMAN LYON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
SUMNER WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.