Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 526
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MITCHELL SOUTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 523...WW 524...WW 525...
DISCUSSION...ARC OF SUPERCELLS EXTENDING FROM NEAR ONL TO W OF OLU
TO W OF BIE EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NNE/NE LATER THIS EVE AS
WRN/CNTRL KS VORT LOBE ASSUMES A MORE NEGATIVE TILT. OTHER STORMS
MAY CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG N/S INVERTED TROUGH IN SE SD. IN
ADDITION...WDLY SCTD STORMS MAY FORM LATER THIS EVE NEAR WEAK WARM
FRONT IN WRN/CNTRL IA. THE MAIN ARC OF STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A
BROKEN SQLN/QLCS WITH TIME...BUT STRENGTH OF SHEAR AND DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY SUGGEST A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TORNADOES IN
ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND FROM EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS.
TORNADOES ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ACTIVITY ALONG INVERTED
TROUGH...AND WITH ANY STORMS THAT FORM AHEAD OF SQLN IN IA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 526 TORNADO IA MN NE SD 202355Z - 210700Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SE SDA/SHENANDOAH IA/ - 35NE MHE/MITCHELL SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /42SE OVR - 43NW FSD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 40589722 44119965 44119541 40589322
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 526 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 526
VALID 210540Z - 210640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE LWD TO
25 SW OXV.
..PETERS..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC053-117-153-169-181-185-197-210640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR LUCAS POLK
STORY WARREN WAYNE
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 526
VALID 210445Z - 210540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LWD TO
25 ENE SLB TO 20 SW BKX.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-059-
073-077-079-091-093-117-119-121-141-143-149-151-153-159-161-167-
169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-210540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR DICKINSON
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HUMBOLDT IDA LUCAS
LYON MADISON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS
POLK RINGGOLD SAC
SIOUX STORY TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER WOODBURY WRIGHT
$$
MNC063-105-133-210540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON NOBLES ROCK
$$
NEC043-051-210540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-111-
125-127-135-210540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINNEHAHA SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 526
VALID 210440Z - 210540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LWD TO
25 ENE SLB TO 20 SW BKX.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-059-
073-077-079-091-093-117-119-121-141-143-149-151-153-159-161-167-
169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-210540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR DICKINSON
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HUMBOLDT IDA LUCAS
LYON MADISON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS
POLK RINGGOLD SAC
SIOUX STORY TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER WOODBURY WRIGHT
$$
MNC063-105-133-210540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON NOBLES ROCK
$$
NEC043-051-210540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DIXON
$$
SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-111-
125-127-135-210540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINNEHAHA SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 526
VALID 210335Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE BUB
TO 35 ENE BUB AND 25 ESE SDA TO 15 N DNS TO 35 E YKN TO 35 NE MHE.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-059-
073-077-079-091-093-117-119-121-141-143-149-151-153-159-161-167-
169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-210440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR DICKINSON
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HUMBOLDT IDA LUCAS
LYON MADISON O'BRIEN
OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS
POLK RINGGOLD SAC
SIOUX STORY TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER WOODBURY WRIGHT
$$
MNC063-105-133-210440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON NOBLES ROCK
$$
NEC015-043-051-089-183-210440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD DAKOTA DIXON
HOLT WHEELER
$$
SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-111-
125-127-135-210440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINNEHAHA SANBORN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 526
VALID 210235Z - 210340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-071-
073-077-079-085-091-093-117-119-121-129-133-137-141-143-145-149-
151-153-155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-
210340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR FREMONT
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HARRISON HUMBOLDT IDA
LUCAS LYON MADISON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD SAC
SHELBY SIOUX STORY
TAYLOR UNION WARREN
WAYNE WEBSTER WOODBURY
WRIGHT
$$
MNC133-210340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROCK
$$
NEC003-011-015-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-067-089-
095-097-107-109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151-153-155-159-167-
173-177-179-183-210340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BURT BUTLER CASS
CEDAR COLFAX CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE HOLT
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PIERCE
PLATTE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON THURSTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-
111-125-127-135-210340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
BUFFALO CHARLES MIX CLAY
DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY
HANSON HUTCHINSON JERAULD
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA
SANBORN TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 526
VALID 210135Z - 210240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-071-
073-077-079-085-091-093-117-119-121-129-133-137-141-143-145-149-
151-153-155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-
210240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR FREMONT
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HARRISON HUMBOLDT IDA
LUCAS LYON MADISON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD SAC
SHELBY SIOUX STORY
TAYLOR UNION WARREN
WAYNE WEBSTER WOODBURY
WRIGHT
$$
MNC133-210240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROCK
$$
NEC003-011-015-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-067-089-
095-097-107-109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151-153-155-159-167-
173-177-179-183-210240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BURT BUTLER CASS
CEDAR COLFAX CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE HOLT
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PIERCE
PLATTE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON THURSTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-
111-125-127-135-210240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
BUFFALO CHARLES MIX CLAY
DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY
HANSON HUTCHINSON JERAULD
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA
SANBORN TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 526
VALID 210035Z - 210140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/11
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...LBF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 526
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-021-025-027-029-035-039-041-047-049-053-071-
073-077-079-085-091-093-117-119-121-129-133-137-141-143-145-149-
151-153-155-159-161-165-167-169-173-175-181-185-187-193-197-
210140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUENA VISTA CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAY CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR FREMONT
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HARRISON HUMBOLDT IDA
LUCAS LYON MADISON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD SAC
SHELBY SIOUX STORY
TAYLOR UNION WARREN
WAYNE WEBSTER WOODBURY
WRIGHT
$$
MNC133-210140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROCK
$$
NEC003-011-015-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-067-089-
095-097-107-109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151-153-155-159-167-
173-177-179-183-210140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BURT BUTLER CASS
CEDAR COLFAX CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE HOLT
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PIERCE
PLATTE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON THURSTON WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-073-083-087-099-
111-125-127-135-210140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
BUFFALO CHARLES MIX CLAY
DAVISON DOUGLAS GREGORY
HANSON HUTCHINSON JERAULD
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA
SANBORN TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.