Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 63
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 435 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ROME GEORGIA TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...WW 60...WW
61...WW 62...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ACROSS
SOUTHERN AL IN A MOIST AND STRONGLY SHEARED AIR MASS. LOW LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL
JET INTENSIFIES...WITH A RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES.
DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 63 TORNADO AL FL GA MS CW 022235Z - 030600Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NNE RMG/ROME GA/ - 35SE MOB/MOBILE AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /25S GQO - 37SE SJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 34548348 30308633 30308933 34548665
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 63 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 63
VALID 030130Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..03/03/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-
035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-061-063-065-081-085-087-091-
097-099-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-131-
030240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE COFFEE
CONECUH COOSA COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
GENEVA GREENE HALE
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-030240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC045-063-067-077-089-097-113-121-135-143-145-149-199-215-223-
233-285-030240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CLAYTON COBB
COWETA DEKALB DOUGLAS
FAYETTE FULTON GWINNETT
HARALSON HARRIS HEARD
MERIWETHER MUSCOGEE PAULDING
POLK TROUP
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-153-030240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 63
VALID 030035Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..03/03/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-
035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-061-063-065-081-085-087-091-
097-099-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-131-
030140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE COFFEE
CONECUH COOSA COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
GENEVA GREENE HALE
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-030140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC045-063-067-077-089-097-113-121-135-143-145-149-199-215-223-
233-285-030140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CLAYTON COBB
COWETA DEKALB DOUGLAS
FAYETTE FULTON GWINNETT
HARALSON HARRIS HEARD
MERIWETHER MUSCOGEE PAULDING
POLK TROUP
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-153-030140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-030140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 63
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 63
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-
035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-061-063-065-081-085-087-091-
097-099-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-131-
030040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE COFFEE
CONECUH COOSA COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
GENEVA GREENE HALE
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-059-091-113-131-030040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA HOLMES OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON
$$
GAC045-063-067-077-089-097-113-121-135-143-145-149-199-215-223-
233-285-030040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CLAYTON COBB
COWETA DEKALB DOUGLAS
FAYETTE FULTON GWINNETT
HARALSON HARRIS HEARD
MERIWETHER MUSCOGEE PAULDING
POLK TROUP
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-153-030040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.