Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
KANSAS
FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 525 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ENID OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
167...WW 169...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF TORNADOES FROM NW HUT TO S
OF GAG ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NEWD WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND
STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL REMAIN
CAPABLE OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL INTO TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ALONG STATIONARY OR
SLOWLY RETREATING DRYLINE OVER WRN KS INTO THE ERN TX PNHDL WHERE
ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT TORNADIC SUPERCELLS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 170 TORNADO KS NE OK TX 142225Z - 150700Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 65SSW END/ENID OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /56WSW PWE - 38WNW OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 39999551 35479658 35470013 39999929
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 170 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 170
VALID 150550Z - 150640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W CSM TO
40 SE DDC TO 45 SSW EAR.
..BROYLES..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-047-049-051-
053-061-073-077-079-085-089-095-097-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-
131-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-165-167-169-
173-177-183-185-191-197-201-150640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COFFEY
COMANCHE COWLEY DICKINSON
EDWARDS ELK ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OSBORNE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE PRATT
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
SHAWNEE SMITH STAFFORD
SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-009-011-039-043-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-075-093-
103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON KAY
KINGFISHER KIOWA MAJOR
NOBLE OSAGE PAWNEE
ROGER MILLS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 170
VALID 150435Z - 150540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N GAG TO
50 SSW EAR.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-047-049-
051-053-057-061-073-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-105-111-113-115-
117-123-127-131-135-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161-
163-165-167-169-173-177-183-185-191-195-197-201-150540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLARK CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COMANCHE COWLEY
DICKINSON EDWARDS ELK
ELLIS ELLSWORTH FORD
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN JACKSON
JEWELL KINGMAN KIOWA
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA NESS
OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER TREGO
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-
075-093-103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR NOBLE
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-150540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 170
VALID 150345Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N GAG TO
50 SSW EAR.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-
049-051-053-057-061-065-073-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-105-111-
113-115-117-123-127-131-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-
157-159-161-163-165-167-169-173-177-179-183-185-191-195-197-201-
150440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLARK CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COMANCHE COWLEY
DECATUR DICKINSON EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GEARY GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
HODGEMAN JACKSON JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA NESS NORTON
OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-
075-093-103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR NOBLE
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-150440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 170
VALID 150230Z - 150340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-
049-051-053-057-061-065-073-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-105-111-
113-115-117-123-127-131-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-
157-159-161-163-165-167-169-173-177-179-183-185-191-195-197-201-
150340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLARK CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COMANCHE COWLEY
DECATUR DICKINSON EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GEARY GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
HODGEMAN JACKSON JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA NESS NORTON
OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
NEC087-145-150340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-
075-093-103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR NOBLE
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-150340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 170
VALID 150055Z - 150140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-
049-051-053-057-061-065-073-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-105-111-
113-115-117-123-127-131-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-
157-159-161-163-165-167-169-173-177-179-183-185-191-195-197-201-
150140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLARK CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COMANCHE COWLEY
DECATUR DICKINSON EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GEARY GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
HODGEMAN JACKSON JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA NESS NORTON
OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
NEC087-145-150140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-
075-093-103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR NOBLE
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-150140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 170
VALID 142345Z - 150040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/14/12
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...OUN...AMA...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-047-
049-051-053-057-061-065-073-077-079-083-085-089-095-097-105-111-
113-115-117-123-127-131-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-155-
157-159-161-163-165-167-169-173-177-179-183-185-191-195-197-201-
150040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLARK CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COMANCHE COWLEY
DECATUR DICKINSON EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GEARY GRAHAM
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
HODGEMAN JACKSON JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA NESS NORTON
OSAGE OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
PRATT RENO REPUBLIC
RICE RILEY ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
NEC087-145-150040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-073-
075-093-103-113-117-129-149-151-153-150040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA MAJOR NOBLE
OSAGE PAWNEE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-150040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.