SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
   NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO CLINTON OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 281...
   
   DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD
   FRONT/DRY LINE OVER NWRN OK INTO THE EXTREME ERN TX PANHANDLE.  THIS
   IS A LIKELY PRECURSOR TO THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WHICH IS EXPECTED
   TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED
   BY STEEP LAPSE RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
   J/KG...AND A RELATIVELY DEEP WELL-MIXED PBL.  THIS WILL FAVOR
   PRODUCTION OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
   CELLS.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD WITH TIME
   ALTHOUGH SOME SEWD MOTION MAY DEVELOP IF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS
   ABLE TO BE GENERATED.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24020.
   
   
   ...WEISS

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
   NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO CLINTON OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 281...
   
   DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD
   FRONT/DRY LINE OVER NWRN OK INTO THE EXTREME ERN TX PANHANDLE.  THIS
   IS A LIKELY PRECURSOR TO THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WHICH IS EXPECTED
   TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED
   BY STEEP LAPSE RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
   J/KG...AND A RELATIVELY DEEP WELL-MIXED PBL.  THIS WILL FAVOR
   PRODUCTION OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
   CELLS.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD WITH TIME
   ALTHOUGH SOME SEWD MOTION MAY DEVELOP IF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS
   ABLE TO BE GENERATED.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24020.
   
   
   ...WEISS

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
   NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO CLINTON OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 281...
   
   DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD
   FRONT/DRY LINE OVER NWRN OK INTO THE EXTREME ERN TX PANHANDLE.  THIS
   IS A LIKELY PRECURSOR TO THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WHICH IS EXPECTED
   TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED
   BY STEEP LAPSE RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
   J/KG...AND A RELATIVELY DEEP WELL-MIXED PBL.  THIS WILL FAVOR
   PRODUCTION OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
   CELLS.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD WITH TIME
   ALTHOUGH SOME SEWD MOTION MAY DEVELOP IF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS
   ABLE TO BE GENERATED.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24020.
   
   
   ...WEISS

   WOUS64 KWNS 192049
   WOU2
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-151-
   153-200300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0282.120519T2055Z-120520T0300Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALFALFA              BECKHAM             BLAINE              
   CUSTER               DEWEY               ELLIS               
   GARFIELD             GRANT               KAY                 
   KINGFISHER           MAJOR               NOBLE               
   ROGER MILLS          WASHITA             WOODS               
   WOODWARD             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...
   
   
   

   SAW2 
   WW 282 SEVERE TSTM OK 192055Z - 200300Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   40ENE AVK/ALVA OK/ - CSM/CLINTON OK/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /39N END - 69SSE GAG/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
   
   LAT...LON 36979691 35339813 35330026 36979908
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.
   

Watch 282 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 282

VALID 200135Z - 200240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N CDS TO
25 ESE P28.

..ROGERS..05/20/12

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-015-017-039-043-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-
151-153-200240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CADDO		     CANADIAN		 CUSTER 	     
DEWEY		     GARFIELD		 GRANT		     
KAY		     KINGFISHER 	 MAJOR		     
NOBLE		     ROGER MILLS	 WASHITA	     
WOODS		     WOODWARD		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 282

VALID 200055Z - 200140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE BGD
TO 25 E GAG TO 20 ESE P28.

..ROGERS..05/20/12

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-151-
153-200140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
ROGER MILLS	     WASHITA		 WOODS		     
WOODWARD	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 282

VALID 192355Z - 200040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE BGD
TO 25 E GAG TO 15 SSW P28.

..ROGERS..05/19/12

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-151-
153-200040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
ROGER MILLS	     WASHITA		 WOODS		     
WOODWARD	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 282

VALID 192235Z - 192340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..ROGERS..05/19/12

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-151-
153-192340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
ROGER MILLS	     WASHITA		 WOODS		     
WOODWARD	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 282

VALID 192140Z - 192240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..ROGERS..05/19/12

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-149-151-
153-192240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
ROGER MILLS	     WASHITA		 WOODS		     
WOODWARD	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.