Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 84
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 535 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 83...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING THIS AFTERNOON OVER WEST
CENTRAL KS ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND IN REGION OF STRONG
LOW LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION. SCATTERED STORMS IN THIS REGION MAY
BECOME SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 84 SEVERE TSTM KS 072235Z - 080500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70N RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 20S P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /75ENE HLC - 50NW END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 39869777 37009758 37009958 39869986
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 84 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 84
VALID 080040Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/08/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 84
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-057-077-079-083-089-095-097-105-
113-123-135-141-145-147-151-155-159-163-165-167-169-173-183-185-
191-195-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FORD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MITCHELL NESS
OSBORNE PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RENO RICE
ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE SEDGWICK SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER TREGO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 84
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/07/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 84
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-057-077-079-083-089-095-097-105-
113-123-135-141-145-147-151-155-159-163-165-167-169-173-183-185-
191-195-080040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FORD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN JEWELL
KINGMAN KIOWA LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MITCHELL NESS
OSBORNE PAWNEE PHILLIPS
PRATT RENO RICE
ROOKS RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE SEDGWICK SMITH
STAFFORD SUMNER TREGO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.